​New Post-Debate Poll: Trump Maintains Lead 

Trump Leads Across All Polling Methodologies: Live Telephone, IVR and Online

WASHINGTON (December 18, 2015) — A new Morning Consult poll released today finds that Donald Trump’s lead among Republican primary voters remains strong following Tuesday’s GOP debate. The billionaire comes out on top at 36 percent, 24 percentage points ahead of Ben Carson at 12 percent, Ted Cruz at 11 percent, and Marco Rubio at nine percent.

The Morning Consult poll surveyed 1511 (1340 unweighted) registered Republican and Republican leaning voters from Dec. 12 to 15 and 921 (861 unweighted) registered Republican and Republican leaning voters following the GOP debate from Dec. 16 to 17 for a margin of error of +/- three percentage points. One-third of the poll was conducted through live telephone interviews, one-third by interactive voice response (IVR), and one-third online.

Pre-Debate (December 12 to 15): toplines and crosstabs

Post-Debate (December 15 to 17): toplines and crosstabs

Candidate Pre-Debate: December 12-15 Post-Debate: December 16-17
Donald Trump 38% 36%
Ben Carson 14% 12%
Ted Cruz 12% 11%
Marco Rubio 8% 9%
Jeb Bush 7% 7%
Carly Fiorina 2% 2%
Chris Christie 2% 2%
Rand Paul 2% 3%
Someone Else 5% 7%
Don’t Know 10% 11%

The poll also found that Trump received support from 42 percent of men both before and after the debate, but his support among women declines slightly from 34 percent to 29 percent after the debate.

About one in six Republican respondents said they would support Hillary Clinton in the general election matchup between Trump and Clinton and 15 percent said they were undecided. The figure remained consistent before and after the debate.

And when it came to the nation’s issues, four in 10 said security issues are the top set of concerns on their mind when they are thinking about casting a vote. In the pre-debate poll, Republicans selected security issues over economic issues by a 45-22 margin. Following the debate, security issues trumped economic issues by a smaller 38-29 margin.

To access the latest polls from Morning Consult and other leading media and polling organizations, visit Morning Consult Intelligence at morningconsultintelligence.com.

For any questions on methodology or the poll, please reach out to Jeff Cartwright at [email protected] or 763-234-7431.


Washington Brief: Montana GOP Candidate in Today’s Special Election Charged With Assaulting Journalist

Greg Gianforte, the GOP candidate in a special House election in Montana, was charged with a misdemeanor for allegedly assaulting a journalist who was asking him about the recent Congressional Budget Office estimate of the American Health Care Act. Gianforte faces Democrat Rob Quist in today’s election to fill the seat left vacant by Ryan Zinke, who now serves as head of the Interior Department.

Washington Brief: Trump Calls Naming of Special Counsel the ‘Greatest Witch Hunt of a Politician’ in U.S. History

Robert Mueller, a former Federal Bureau of Investigation director, was named special counsel by Deputy Attorney General Rod Rosenstein to oversee the FBI’s investigation into Russian connections to President Donald Trump’s 2016 presidential campaign. Trump responded on Twitter by saying the naming of a special counsel is “the single greatest witch hunt of a politician in American history!”

Washington Brief: Chaffetz Demands FBI Turn Over All Records of Comey’s Meetings With Trump

A memo written in February by now-former Federal Bureau of Investigation Director James Comey says President Donald Trump urged him to abandon an FBI investigation into former National Security Advisor Michael Flynn. House Oversight Committee Chairman Jason Chaffetz (R-Utah) demanded that the FBI turn over all documents related to meetings between Trump and Comey.

Washington Brief: Trump Defends Sharing Intelligence on ISIS With Russian Officials

President Donald Trump revealed classified information to Russia’s foreign minister and ambassador during a White House meeting last week, jeopardizing a source of intelligence on the Islamic State and drawing criticism from Republicans such as Senate Foreign Relations Committee Chairman Bob Corker. Trump later said on Twitter that he has an “absolute right” to share “facts” with Russia.

Load More