Poll: Cruz and Rubio Gain After Iowa

Rubio has attacked Trump on health care. (REUTERS/Chris Keane)

Correction: Due to a processing error, this story inaccurately reported candidates’ support in a previous Morning Consult poll conducted from January 29 through February 1. Sen. Bernie Sanders gained only one percentage point, Hillary Clinton gained one percentage point, Donald Trump lost three percentage points, Sen. Marco Rubio gained four percentage points and Sen. Ted Cruz gained two percentage points. We regret the error.

After nearly beating Hillary Clinton in Iowa, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders saw his support among Democrat voters increase one percentage point to 35 percent, his highest ever amount in Morning Consult polling. But Clinton’s significant lead also increased by one percentage point, up to 51 percent.

CandidateRegistered Voters
(Feb 2–3)
Registered Voters
(Jan 29–Feb 1)
Registered Voters
(Jan 21-24)
Hillary Clinton51%50%48%
Bernie Sanders35%34%31%
Someone Else6%5%6%
Don't Know/No Opinion8%9%12%
Martin O'MalleyX5%2%

*Due to a processing error, a previous version of this table inaccurately reported the results for the Jan. 29-Feb. 1 poll. We regret the error.

Despite coming in second in Iowa, Donald Trump maintains a sizable lead among Republican voters at 38 percent, a number that decreased three percentage points following the results of the caucus. Texas Sen. Ted Cruz and Florida Sen. Marco Rubio are in a statistical tie for second, with Cruz getting 14 percent of the vote and Rubio at 12 percent. Rubio gained four percentage points after a stronger-than-expected third place finish in Iowa. Cruz gained two percentage points after winning the caucus.

CandidateRegistered Voters (Feb 2-3)Registered Voters (Jan 29-Feb 1)Registered Voters (Jan 21-Jan 24)
Donald Trump38%41%40%
Ted Cruz14%12%11%
Marco Rubio12%8%9%
Ben Carson9%9%10%
Jeb Bush5%7%7%
Chris Christie3%3%3%
Carly Fiorina3%1%1%
John Kasich2%2%2%
Rick Santorum1%1%1%
Someone Else5%1%2%
Don't Know/No Opinion8%8%10%
Mike HuckabeeX3%3%
Rand PaulX3%2%

*Due to a processing error, a previous version of this table inaccurately reported the results for the Jan. 29-Feb. 1 poll. We regret the error.

 

Morning Consult conducted a national survey of 1508 registered voters from February 2-3, 2015. Results from the full survey have a margin of error of ±3%. The interviews were conducted online and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region.

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