Trump Drops Slightly, Clinton Holds Steady in New Poll

Super Tuesday
Rubio has voiced misgivings about Tillerson's nomination. (Rob Kunzig/Morning Consult)
February 17, 2016 at 5:30 am ET

As voters in South Carolina and Nevada prepare to weigh in on the presidential nominating contests this weekend, a new Morning Consult national survey shows little movement at the top.

On the GOP side, billionaire and front-runner Donald Trump dropped three percentage points, bringing in 41 percent of the vote. At 12 percent, Texas Sen. Ted Cruz’s support was also slightly down. Florida Sen. Marco Rubio picked up a little momentum to finish second with 14 percent. Ben Carson also saw small gains, while Ohio Gov. John Kasich and former Florida Gov. Jeb Bush each dropped a percentage point.

ICSJanuaryFebruaryMarchAprilMayJuneJulyAugust
AL125.1128.1110.897.498.899.798.798.7
AK119.2112.8106.378.280.180.68485.5
AZ118.2118.598.787.589.192.18791.6
AR116.9117.8100.190.192.893.990.791.8
CA110.8111.592.780.482.38683.586
CO110.6112.892.478.182.78283.785.4
CT107.4109.690.775.178.686.784.787.5
DE115.1115.596.782.187.789.487.391.1
FL119.5118.610086.991.292.989.291.7
GA124.4126108.494.795.897.695.799.1
HI105.5106.18472.576.8747370.7
ID118.7124.3105.188.294.5999594.4
IL111.111292.879.882.884.685.885.1
IN119.6119.9101.185.389.593.388.691.9
IA109.7110.690.280.482.286.18486.5
KS115.6112.692.58282.487.786.488.2
KY114.8116.4100.984.888.889.888.789.2
LA121.6125.4110.293.397.499.493.395
ME109.5111.387.174.977.280.18078.9
MD112.3113.993.779.583.788.18588.4
MA107.7107.789.975.777.183.983.283.3
MI113.1114.594.680.181.38885.287.5
MN1151169379.578.790.187.689.6
MS122.4123.3106.394.293.597.592.293.3
MO119.4120.7101.48890.491.488.991.8
MT116.3115.1100.285.791.7968786.4
NE117119.393.583.588.287.88593
NV120.4121.895.885.986.186.686.790.2
NH110.6109.59177.476.283.481.279.3
NJ111.6111.891.779.680.986.785.287.5
NM111.5115100.187.18792.383.587.4
NY112.2112.494.581.582.588.488.989.5
NC119.7121.399.488.791.492.991.493.3
ND115.6116.9100.679.785.486.988.385.5
OH114.9116.696.882.585.789.386.187.9
OK117.6118.9103.390.690.59089.690.7
OR109.3107.388.677.376.578.778.381.7
PA114.1114.895.380.383.488.787.489.6
RI110.71118779.381.984.382.189.4
SC121.3124.110590.993.193.390.995.2
SD111.511598.480.588.188.394.595
TN122123.2103.192.69395.390.194.5
TX120.8120.610387.89192.991.493.6
UT122123.2102.388.594.49487.589.1
VT99.695.183.3707576.676.679.6
VA118.5118.8102.586.589.691.491.190
WA109.9107.489.380.883.183.982.384.2
WV108.6111.699.485.487.188.684.386
WI111.3112.388.378.980.785.684.683.7
WY116.3124.2103.390.689.487.891.888.6

On the Democratic side, former Secretary of State Hillary Clinton increased her lead slightly with 47 percent of the vote. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) held steady at 39 percent.

Demographic5/6/20   5/7/20   5/8/20   5/9/20   5/10/20   5/11/20   5/12/20   5/13/20   5/14/20   5/15/20   5/16/20   5/17/20   5/18/20   5/19/20   5/20/20   5/21/20   5/22/20   5/23/20   5/24/20   5/25/20   5/26/20   5/27/20   5/28/20   5/29/20   5/30/20   5/31/20   6/1/20   6/2/20   6/3/20   6/4/20   6/5/20   6/6/20   6/7/20   6/8/20   6/9/20   6/10/20   6/11/20   6/12/20   6/13/20   6/14/20   6/15/20   6/16/20   6/17/20   6/18/20   6/19/20   6/20/20   6/21/20   6/22/20   6/23/20   6/24/20   6/25/20   6/26/20   6/27/20   6/28/20   6/29/20   6/30/20   7/1/20   7/2/20   7/3/20   7/4/20   7/5/20   7/6/20   7/7/20   7/8/20   7/9/20   7/10/20   7/11/20   7/12/20   7/13/20   7/14/20   7/15/20   7/16/20   7/17/20   7/18/20   7/19/20   7/20/20   7/21/20   7/22/20   7/23/20   7/24/20   7/25/20   7/26/20   7/27/20   7/28/20   7/29/20   7/30/20   7/31/20   8/1/20   8/2/20   8/3/20   8/4/20   8/5/20   8/6/20   8/7/20   8/8/20   8/9/20   8/10/20   8/11/20   8/12/20   8/13/20   8/14/20   8/15/20   8/16/20   8/17/20   8/18/20   8/19/20   8/20/20   8/21/20   8/22/20   8/23/20   
Likely Voters494434494434494434484434484535484535484535484435494435494335494435494435494435484435484435494435494335484435484435484534494434484435484435494435494435494435484435494335494335494335494335504235504334514234514234504235504235504235504235504235514235514235514234504234504235504235504235504235504235504235504225504225504324514234504334514234514234514234504235504334504235514234504234514234504235504235504235514235504234504235504235504235504235504235514235504235504235514235514235514235504235514325514235514235504334504324504324504324514224514225514235514235514225514225514324514324514324504334514324514225514225514324514324514324524224514324524224514324524324524224
Democrats9052390522906229052290622905229062291522905239152390522905228952389523905239152391423905239052390622906229062290523905239052390522915229152291522916229062291523915229142291422914229152291522924239242292422925229152292522915239152290523905229052391513924139241392422924229242292512925129252292522925129251292412915229252292522925129251292512915129251291513925129151291513915139151291512925129241292412915139251292512925129251291512916129251292512925129251292512925129251292512925129251292512925129251293412944119441293412935129261293502936019351193502
Independents43398104240894339994240894339811433971144387114438711443871142406124339612434061144396114240612424061142407114338810443881044397114340611443871143387114338711424071143397104338712433671343367134337813443771244386124538611463861046376104737610473661148356114736611483561048357114934710463671145377104537710463581145358124536811443771245376124436713453671146367114637611463661145377114537711453771145367114536711463681147347114735810473671046368104635811453691145369104636810473581047348114734812463471246347124635811473471247347124734712463681145368114537711453771145376114636712453671246367114736610483561047367104538710453771045368114835711473671146366124537711463671147377104636711453771145367124536712463671148367949367949356948356114836610473761047375104737510
Republicans7891278913789136891369013690136911369012790127891369013690136901369112691126901369013690136901369013790137901379013690137901369013690137901378913888147881478813789137891388813789137891378814788137891378913888138881378913888138881378813788137891378913690137901378913789137891288813888138881378913789137891378913788137891378813788147891378913789137881388813888138881378913789137891368913789137891378913789137891388813889138881378913789137891388913789137881378813887148881388813889138881378913789137891379013690127901279012789137891378913888138881388912
Gen Zers552810753319751331075231108523089572878582778622486592777582868563078592688602677602389552791054288105330895727795925886226665928765629785627895627895727795826696124696324586127675927775927776026785927776026766125866223786123886123886322876323776422776025776323866025875925885825796024896025875926785927786025696225576523666522766422866224776522676820666920666623656423666323875924107602497612497652087622396642386612586632386612586622486612577602587612488602488622378622477652276652276662275672265642376622378612388642278662176672166672265662356652456642456642457642546612946593056583066622667622766622765622666642655672355642655622747592938632737662446692245682236
Millennials523945533944543654533854523955513945504145504145514144534034533945533934523945514135524035504054514044514054523945524044523944504055503955503956523855523855513956523856523855543745533845543835553744563644553644563645553645543646523945533845553645563545553645533745523746523756533755523855523845523946533835543835563734563644543834553744543944553844523944523845543745553744563644563644553644533845533845533845543745533845533845523945533845543844533845533845543745533845513955514045514045533845523945533845514045514145514234534034543934543845543745553645553545563545553735543844524044524044514045533945523935533945533934543934543934534034543934563834563724563734
Gen Xers464734464734454735454735454645464635484435484336484436474436464635474535454636454735454835474634484534474635464635474635474625484425494425504324494525484525464625454726454736454636474526494326524125524025524125484435484534474535494434484435484535484435464635464725454824484535494435504235504226494335494434494334494435484435484525484435484435484435474535464635454636474525484435494435484435464535494435494435494335484435474535464725464725484525494325484525474625474525484425484426484525474525494425494425504335494425494524494424504325494335494335494425504325494425494435494435494425484525484525484425484525484525494424504424514324504324514325494425494524484625
Baby Boomers484714494524494624484624474824464824474824464824474724474724484614474714484625474724484624484614494524474724474724464824474724474824474824474824474824474724474724494524494425494425484525484625474724474724484724484624484614484615494514494624494524494524504424514424524324514424494524484625484525494425504414494514484614494524494524494524494524494624494514494524504424504424494524494524494624504415494515494514494624504524504425504325504325504424504424494424504424504424504424514424504424504514504524504514504514504514494514484614484624494524494524494524494624494514494614494614504424504424514424514414514414514423504513504514514414514414504514494614494614504514

The Morning Consult survey polled 1,763 registered voters on Feb. 15 and Feb. 16, for a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines and crosstabs.

 

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