Rubio’s Loss Is Cruz’s Gain in GOP Race, Polling Shows

Super Tuesday
Rubio has voiced misgivings about Tillerson's nomination. (Rob Kunzig/Morning Consult)

Florida Sen. Marco Rubio dropped out of the presidential race Tuesday night shortly after suffering a heavy home-state loss to GOP front-runner Donald Trump, and his Senate colleague Ted Cruz should benefit the most from his exit, according to new Morning Consult polling.

Among 412 Marco Rubio supporters we polled, 47 percent support the Texas senator as a second choice. Twenty-seven percent of respondents said they would back Ohio Gov. John Kasich if Rubio exited the race, and, to little surprise, just 13 percent of Rubio supporters said they’d back Trump.

ICSJanuary 2020February 2020March 2020April 2020May 2020June 2020July 2020August 2020September 2020October 2020November 2020December 2020January 2021
AL125.1128.1110.897.498.899.798.798.7103104.59392.487.3
AK119.2112.8106.378.280.180.68485.581.287.98785.890
AZ118.2118.598.787.589.192.18791.69899.19289.889.1
AR116.9117.8100.190.192.893.990.791.895.29791.285.986
CA110.8111.592.780.482.38683.58689.691.79088.491.6
CO110.6112.892.478.182.78283.785.490.291.48786.288.7
CT107.4109.690.775.178.686.784.787.589.990.387.883.788.9
DE115.1115.596.782.187.789.487.391.191.297.491.287.993.2
FL119.5118.610086.991.292.989.291.795.296.893.891.392.3
GA124.4126108.494.795.897.695.799.1101.9104.999.494.394.4
HI105.5106.18472.576.8747370.772.374.278.683.985
ID118.7124.3105.188.294.5999594.498.695.491.288.787.1
IL111.111292.879.882.884.685.885.189.390.188.587.992
IN119.6119.9101.185.389.593.388.691.994.294.386.586.685.8
IA109.7110.690.280.482.286.18486.586.287.983.58387
KS115.6112.692.58282.487.786.488.290.594.485.585.985.3
KY114.8116.4100.984.888.889.888.789.292.392.985.981.182.4
LA121.6125.4110.293.397.499.493.395100.197.892.889.786.1
ME109.5111.387.174.977.280.18078.983.682.481.478.185.9
MD112.3113.993.779.583.788.18588.490.890.39090.492.8
MA107.7107.789.975.777.183.983.283.385.583.886.587.991.6
MI113.1114.594.680.181.38885.287.590.992.18685.286.9
MN1151169379.578.790.187.689.694.393.189.990.488.1
MS122.4123.3106.394.293.597.592.293.397.695.790.289.189.4
MO119.4120.7101.48890.491.488.991.895.496.489.38986
MT116.3115.1100.285.791.7968786.491.997.583.880.674.4
NE117119.393.583.588.287.8859395.692.487.586.287.1
NV120.4121.895.885.986.186.686.790.292.192.589.184.588
NH110.6109.59177.476.283.481.279.382.782.683.786.787.5
NJ111.6111.891.779.680.986.785.287.590.390.690.189.791.3
NM111.5115100.187.18792.383.587.486.989.184.981.587.2
NY112.2112.494.581.582.588.488.989.59292.591.991.893.8
NC119.7121.399.488.791.492.991.493.395.496.793.190.490.6
ND115.6116.9100.679.785.486.988.385.587.489.985.477.979.6
OH114.9116.696.882.585.789.386.187.993.394.688.987.389.4
OK117.6118.9103.390.690.59089.690.795.594.386.186.588.9
OR109.3107.388.677.376.578.778.381.783.186.18680.482.1
PA114.1114.895.380.383.488.787.489.691.493.186.68384.9
RI110.71118779.381.984.382.189.489.988.480.987.187.7
SC121.3124.110590.993.193.390.995.29898.294.390.589.6
SD111.511598.480.588.188.394.59591.787.979.888.478.2
TN122123.2103.192.69395.390.194.596.39690.48986.4
TX120.8120.610387.89192.991.493.696.498.592.791.592.9
UT122123.2102.388.594.49487.589.195.796.589.19090.5
VT99.695.183.3707576.676.679.675.377.775.680.284.9
VA118.5118.8102.586.589.691.491.19094.193.692.288.790.8
WA109.9107.489.380.883.183.982.384.285.28684.780.487.8
WV108.6111.699.485.487.188.684.38691.192.983.975.170.5
WI111.3112.388.378.980.785.684.683.788.690.287.585.987.3
WY116.3124.2103.390.689.487.891.888.6100.394.292.57888.5

Nine percent said someone they’d vote for someone else and 5 percent don’t know.

Morning Consult interviewed 8,732 registered voters from March 11-15, including 3,372 Republican and Republican-leaning independents.

Do NOT follow this link or you will be banned from the site!