Poll: Donald Trump Hits New High Among GOP Voters

As front-runner Donald Trump continues his march toward the Republican nomination for president, he is more popular than ever among GOP voters, according to a new Morning Consult survey.

Fifty-six percent of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents polled from April 29 through May 2 said they would vote for Trump if the election were held today. That’s an 8-point increase from our previous poll, taken last week.

And while Trump is up 8 points, the news gets worse for his main competitor, Sen. Ted Cruz. Only 20 percent of voters are still backing the Texas Republican for the nomination, which is down 7 points from last week. Cruz’s favorability among Republican voters was down 4 points (54 percent to 50 percent) and down 2 points among independents (27 percent to 25 percent). And in a week in which he announced former GOP presidential candidate Carly Fiorina as his would-be running mate on a Republican ticket, his favorability among Republican women also fell 7 points, from 54 percent to 47 percent.

The third candidate in the GOP race, Ohio Gov. John Kasich, was the first choice for 13 percent of respondents, up 1 point from our previous poll.

 April 29-May 2, 2016April 26-29, 2016April 20-22, 2016
Donald Trump56%48%49%
Ted Cruz20%27%24%
John Kasich13%12%14%
Someone Else4%8%7%
Don't Know/No Opinion7%5%6%

Meanwhile, Democratic presidential front-runner Hillary Clinton’s support is back on an upward trajectory. Fifty-one percent of Democrats and Democratic-leaning independents support the former Secretary of State and first lady. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) continues to trend down: he is the first choice for 38 percent of respondents in our new poll.

 April 29-May 2, 2016April 26-29, 2016April 20-22, 2016
Hillary Clinton51%49%48%
Bernie Sanders38%40%42%
Someone Else5%5%6%
Don't Know/No Opinion6%6%4%

Since mid-April, Clinton’s support is up 5 points, while the percentage of voters supporting Sanders has waned by the same amount.

The Morning Consult survey polled 1,976 registered voters from April 29-May 2, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines and crosstabs.


Washington Brief: Week in Review & What’s Ahead

House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) called the shooting of House Majority Whip Steve Scalise – along with a House staffer, lobbyist and Capitol Police officer – “an attack on all of us.” In addition to the show of unity at the 56th annual Congressional Baseball Game, lawmakers raised concerns about their own security and that of their district offices.

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