Trump Pulls Almost Even With Clinton in New Poll

Throughout the 2016 presidential campaign, Democratic front-runner Hillary Clinton has maintained generally comfortable leads over the presumptive Republican nominee, Donald Trump, in a potential general-election matchup. But new survey data from Morning Consult indicates that deficit is closing fast.

According to a national poll of almost 4,000 registered voters taken last week, Clinton leads Trump by just 42 percent to 40 percent, within the 2-point margin of error. She is down 2 percent from a week ago, while Trump gained 2 points. Nearly one out of five voters (17 percent) remain undecided.

 May 11-15, 2016May 5-9, 2016April 29-May 2, 2016
Hillary Clinton42%44%45%
Donald Trump40%38%40%
Don't Know/No Opinion17%18%15%

The new poll shows Trump making gains among independents, women, and those who classify themselves as moderates. He increased his support among independent voters by 3 points, while Clinton’s support fell by 2 points. Support from women for the former secretary of State also fell by 2 points, while Trump’s increased by 2 points. And among moderates, the new poll shows Clinton only holding a 10-point lead over Trump (46 percent to 36 percent), down from a 17-point lead (49 percent to 32 percent) in the previous poll.

Among all voters, Clinton is almost as unpopular as the controversial Trump. Only 41 percent of voters have a favorable view of her, compared with 39 percent who have a favorable view of Trump.

And while Clinton holds a sturdy lead in the delegate count for the Democratic nomination, it is her rival, Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.), who continues to poll stronger against Trump in a hypothetical matchup. Pitted against the bombastic businessman, Sanders would lead 50 percent to 37 percent.

 May 11-15, 2016May 5-9, 2016April 29-May 2, 2016
Bernie Sanders50%51%50%
Donald Trump37%36%39%
Don't Know/No Opinion14%13%11%

The Morning Consult survey polled 3,971 registered voters on May 11-15, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines and crosstabs.


Washington Brief: Week in Review & What’s Ahead

House Speaker Paul Ryan (R-Wis.) called the shooting of House Majority Whip Steve Scalise – along with a House staffer, lobbyist and Capitol Police officer – “an attack on all of us.” In addition to the show of unity at the 56th annual Congressional Baseball Game, lawmakers raised concerns about their own security and that of their district offices.

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