Equally striking was the lack of movement in Morning Consult’s latest 50-state Tracking Trump data: Most of the states expected to play a pivotal role in 2020 — including Arizona, Florida, Iowa, Maine, Nevada, North Carolina, Ohio, Pennsylvania and Texas — saw no statistically significant movement in evaluations of the president’s job performance between the past two months.
To be sure, Trump remains underwater in each of those states ahead of next year’s election. But he appears to have emerged relatively unscathed from a torrid month marked by negative headlines concerning his administration’s alleged quid pro quo with the Ukrainian government in a bid to investigate his political rival, Joe Biden, and blowback from Republican officials over his decision to cede territory in Syria to Turkey and Russia.
It’s not all good news for the president. In Wisconsin, his net approval — the share of voters who approve of his job performance minus the share who disapprove — fell 6 points to put him 17 points underwater, his worst showing yet in the Badger State and the biggest fall among competitive states.
And in Georgia, a state Democrats are hoping to contest in 2020, Trump is 3 points in the red after a 4-point slide since September, dropping to a 2019 low. He also saw 3-point declines in net approval in Minnesota and Michigan, where he remains far underwater.