Political Intelligence | The 2020 U.S. Presidential Election

Biden Leads Trump by 7 Points Nationally, Voters Divided on Trump’s Supreme Court Pick

Last Updated: Tuesday, September 29, 2020

With 4,000 daily interviews among likely voters, Morning Consult Political Intelligence offers a granular, real-time look at how the 2020 U.S. election is shaping up. Each week, we will update this page with a high-level look at that data. To get full access to Morning Consult Political Intelligence, contact us below.

Presidential Election National Trends

Respondents are asked "If the November 2020 presidential election were being held today, for whom would you vote?" Each data point reflects a 3-day moving average among around 12,000 likely voters.

Joe Biden
Donald Trump
Someone Else
Don't Know / No Opinion
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Methodology

Political Intelligence is Morning Consult’s proprietary platform that provides real-time polling data on political elections, elected officials and voting issues.

The latest results reflect surveys conducted with 12,965 likely voters from September 25-27, 2020. Morning Consult’s reported results reflect data among likely voters based on a 3-day moving average with a margin of error of +/- 1%. Morning Consult conducts daily interviews with a representative sample of around 4,000 likely voters in the United States via stratified sampling based on age, gender, and language (English/Spanish). This daily sample is weighted based on age, education, ethnicity, gender, geographic region, home ownership, marital status and 2016 presidential vote history. 

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