Washington

GOP Voter Antipathy Toward Cheney Grows as 2024 Chatter Picks Up

4% of GOP voters would support her in a primary against Trump

Liz Cheney amid declining favorability
Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.) gives a concession speech to supporters following her Aug. 16 defeat to Harriet Hageman, who was endorsed by former President Donald Trump. (Alex Wong/Getty Images)

Republican Rep. Liz Cheney’s repeated criticism of former President Donald Trump has made her an enemy of GOP voters nationwide, a trend that continues following her primary defeat in Wyoming last week, according to a new Morning Consult/Politico survey

As she openly flirts with a presidential campaign to try to spoil a Trump re-election bid in 2024, the survey suggests her potential candidacy would do little other than add a staunch anti-Trump candidate to a primary field that mostly pulls punches against the GOP’s standard-bearer.

2 in 3 Republicans Views Liz Cheney Negatively

Republicans were asked whether they hold favorable or unfavorable views about Rep. Liz Cheney (R-Wyo.)

Surveys conducted in 2022 among at least 603 Republican voters each, with unweighted margins of error of +/-4 percentage points.

Republicans are souring on Cheney even more

  • Nationwide, 66% of Republican voters hold unfavorable views of Cheney, up from 58% in a survey conducted before her loss last week to Harriet Hageman, while 14% view her favorably.   
  • Independent voters are far more likely to view Cheney unfavorably (42%) than favorably (27%). Her favorability rating is lower among independents than Trump’s (33%). 
  • Roughly half of Democrats (48%), meanwhile, have a favorable view of Cheney, compared with 23% who have an unfavorable view, figures similar to her standing before her primary loss.

Cheney’s using her defeat to build 2024 attention

The defeat of Cheney marked another win for Trump in his largely successful vengeance campaign against Republicans who he sees as disloyal to him, particularly given the former House Republican Conference leader’s prominence on the special House committee investigating the Jan. 6 Capitol attack.

Her loss scored outsize attention for a House primary: 35% of voters, including similar shares of Democrats and Republicans, said they’d seen, read or heard “a lot” about it, similar to the share who said the same about President Joe Biden’s signing of the Inflation Reduction Act into law.

In defeat, Cheney alluded to the chatter of a potential presidential bid, vowing to work to defeat Trumpism and to bar the former president from rising to the Oval Office again. If she does decide to run in 2024, the survey shows meager appetite among Republican voters, but likely enough support to get her on a debate stage if the GOP uses metrics for qualification as it did in the 2016 nomination contest.

 

Trump maintains 2024 lead, if he wants it

  • Just 4% of Republicans said they would support Cheney in a hypothetical 2024 contest, her best showing in 10 Morning Consult/Politico surveys asking the question since May 2021.
  • The bulk of Republican voters (58%) said they would support Trump, matching his record-high 2024 support set in a survey earlier this month following the Federal Bureau of Investigation’s raid of his Mar-a-Lago home in Florida.
  • Support for a presidential bid by Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is resting at 16%, down from a 22% high set in June.

The latest Morning Consult/Politico survey was conducted Aug. 19-21, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,005 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.