By Eli Yokley
September 28, 2022 at 6:00 am ET
Democratic voters have become increasingly likely to say President Joe Biden should run for re-election in 2024 after his string of summer wins, but a new Morning Consult/Politico survey suggests if he doesn’t run, Vice President Kamala Harris is in the strongest early position for the party’s nomination, though there’s plenty of room for other candidates.
At this point, Harris, who’s taken a prominent role in the Biden administration’s push back against Republican efforts to curtail abortion rights, garners a similar level of support that Biden had at the beginning of 2019.
While the Californian could enter the race as a front-runner, she wouldn’t be a prohibitive favorite, as the survey suggests a relatively open contest if the incumbent president opts not to seek a second term. Though many Democratic voters are undecided, the current leaders of a sans-Biden race don’t neatly align with the most progressive lane of the Democratic Party, which put up a fierce fight against Biden in 2020.
The whole exercise of testing a Bidenless field may well be for naught. None of the names tested have declared, and while Biden told CBS’ “60 Minutes” it is “much too early to make that kind of decision,” he and his allies have said he intends to run for re-election in 2024, which more Democratic voters are coming around to after a summertime slump in support.
The latest Morning Consult/Politico survey was conducted Sept. 23-25, 2022, among a representative sample of 2,005 registered voters, with an unweighted margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.
Eli Yokley is a senior data reporter at Morning Consult covering politics and campaigns. @eyokley