Morning Consult Entertainment: What’s Ahead & Week in Review




 


Entertainment

Essential entertainment industry news & intel to start your day.
March 26, 2023
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Good morning! Welcome back to the Sunday edition of the Morning Consult Entertainment newsletter.

 

Happy “Succession” Sunday! Now that season one of “The Last of Us” is over and we’re (temporarily) out of the world full of killer Cordyceps mushroom zombies, I’m ready to spend my Sunday nights with the rambunctious Roy family and see what antics they get into in the final season. I’m also looking forward to seeing what my favorite fictional high school soccer team on Showtime’s “Yellowjackets” are up to in the wilderness this time. (Spoiler alert: probably eating each other). Long story short: Good TV is back this spring, and I’m completely on board.

 

Pivoting to the movie world, I wrote a story last week about what Americans think about AMC Theatres’ new seat-pricing initiative. Morning Consult data found that while about half of Americans in general said it is inappropriate for movie theaters to charge more for seats with better locations, Gen Z adults and millennials were more open to the idea. I also spoke with CNBC’s Sarah Whitten about our research, which you can read here

 

Before we get to the week ahead, here’s a quick trivia question: What share of U.S. adults said they would not pay to use a social media platform? Take our MCIQ quiz to find out.

 

What’s Ahead

Industry events

  • The Digiday Publishing Summit will start on Monday and run through Wednesday in Vail, Colorado, where media executives will discuss how businesses can recalibrate their growth strategies during a time of economic uncertainty. Steve Raizes, EVP of podcasting and audio at Paramount Global and Ken Ripley, the VP of sales at Scripps Network, are among the featured speakers.
  • Tuesday is the final deadline to submit nominees for the Ad Age Leading Women & Rising Star Awards, which honors women in the media and advertising industry.
  • The Axios What’s Next Summit will be on Wednesday in Washington D.C. as journalists lead discussions with leaders on the future of work, AI, the metaverse and more. Head of YouTube Neal Mohan, Vimeo Inc. Chief Executive Anjali Sud and producer-rapper Timbaland are among the featured speakers. Forethought CEO and co-founder Deon Nicholas, Runway CEO and co-founder Cristóbal Valenzuela and Isaiah Jenkins, the senior manager of strategic development and startup engagement at Comcast NBCUniversal LIFT Labs are featured speakers.
  • The Writers Guild Foundation and Children’s Media Association will host the The ABC’s of Writing for Kids and Family Television virtual event on Thursday, featuring a panel of TV screenwriters and producers including “Miracle Workers” and “Spirit Rangers” writer Kelly Lynne D’Angelo, “Diary of a Future President” writer Ilana Peña and “Secrets of Sulphur Springs” writer Tracey Thomson.
  • The Information’s What’s Next for ChatGPT and Generative AI webinar is on Thursday to discuss the future of generative AI, and how these technologies will change content creation in books and films.

 

Earnings reports

  • Esports brand FaZe Holdings Inc. will share its fourth-quarter and full-year earnings on Thursday. 

 

Festivals

  • The Sun Valley Film Festival starts on Wednesday and runs through Friday in Sun Valley, Idaho. “Joyland,” “Dreamin’ Wild” and “Aliens Abducted My Parents and Now I Feel Kinda Left Out” are among the films that will screen at this year’s festival. Emilio Estevez, Josh Brolin and Sophie Thatcher are among the talent that will be honored, while Variety will host its 10 Producers to Watch panel.
  • The Overlook Film Festival, a 4-day horror festival, starts on Thursday and runs through April 2 in New Orleans, Louisiana. Universal Pictures’ “Renfield,” starring Nicolas Cage and Nicholas Hoult, will have its world premiere on the festival’s opening night, with Cage and director Chris McKay in attendance. Warner Bros. Pictures’ “Evil Dead Rise” will close the festival.
  • PaleyFest 2023 starts on Friday and runs through April 4 in Los Angeles, Calif. Fans will have the chance to attend the annual TV festival, flush with screenings and exclusive Q&As with the casts and crews of their favorite series. Casts from “Abbott Elementary,” “Yellowstone,” “The Mandalorian” and more will be at this year’s event.

 

TV Shows

  • The fourth and final season of “Succession” premieres on HBO tonight at 9 p.m. ET. The show’s third season earned four Emmy Awards last year, including outstanding drama series.
  • The second season of Showtime’s thriller drama series “Yellowjackets,” starring Melanie Lynskey, Christina Ricci, Juliette Lewis and Tawny Cypress, also premieres on Showtime tonight at 9 p.m. ET. The first season received six Emmy Award nominations including a nod for outstanding drama series. The sophomore season adds Elijah Wood and Lauren Ambrose to its star-studded ensemble cast.

 

Movies

  • Paramount Pictures’ fantasy heist flick “Dungeons & Dragons: Honor Among Thieves,” based on the popular tabletop role-playing game and starring Chris Pine, Michelle Rodriguez, Regé-Jean Page and Hugh Grant, hits theaters on Friday following its world premiere at SXSW earlier this month.
  • Netflix Inc.’s “Murder Mystery 2,” starring Adam Sandler and Jennifer Aniston, premieres Friday on the streaming service. Netflix reported that more than 30 million accounts watched the first film when it debuted back in 2019.
 

Week in Review

Last week, Bloomberg reported that Netflix’s ad-supported tier reached 1 million monthly active users about two months after its launch suggesting that the tier could be gaining momentum after some questions about the product’s viability earlier on. Still, Antenna research shows that Disney+ is outpacing Netflix in terms of sign ups for the services’ respective ad-supported tiers.

 

I spoke with Matt Spiegel, executive vice president, media & entertainment vertical at TransUnion, to dig a bit deeper on Netflix’s advertising ambitions and the latest developments in the hyper competitive streaming world.

 

Can you provide some insight about what’s going on with Netflix and the streaming industry in terms of how exactly these platforms are now making choices about cost and content, like Netflix’s recent ad pivot after years of denying it’d ever have ads?

 

Spiegel: I view what’s happening now as the maturity of the industry that says, “Hey streamers, what you really are is a media company much like many others.” And really, the main difference between what streamers have had versus traditional media companies is that they had direct-to-consumer distribution. That is no longer actually a defining difference. They all now have to make the kind of choices the more traditional media companies have been making for decades. The industry shouldn’t discount the expertise that’s around the tables at Netflix and other streaming media companies.

 

I think they’re going to figure it out. As you look specifically at Netflix adjusting prices and testing new pricing strategies in different countries and launching the ad-tier model, for me, this looks like what any media company does.

 

Can you talk more about why these streaming services are experimenting with different release models?

 

Spiegel: There isn’t one model that works moving forward. It is also important to appreciate how data-driven many streaming organizations are at their core, and how valuable that is to their evolution. Streamers like Netflix are looking at customer data and how consumers are interacting with their product. A key piece for streamers is thinking both about usage frequency and also subscriber longevity. Frequency of use obviously matters a ton. If I only use Netflix once a month, I’m clearly not getting a lot of value out of it, which leads to the chance that I might not be a longtime customer. So, my view is that there is a constant balance that streaming media companies are seeking to find.

 

I utilize Disney+ almost exclusively when there is new Star Wars content. I’m sure I’m not alone there. So I’m sure Disney+ considers this reality in their approach for how they release episodes of “The Mandalorian.” By spacing out my access over a few months, they are giving me a need to continue my subscription, which might not exist if I could binge the entire season in one night. Price, content library depth, content release schedule and an advertising option are all factors.

 

What are some challenges Netflix faces as it dives more into the advertising business and plays around with its pricing options?

 

Spiegel: The challenge for Netflix is most of us who are users of Netflix are still happy enough with it that the need to choose a less expensive ad-supported model feels unnecessary. That suggests that over time, they will raise prices and create more of that choice to find where the curve is. I am very bullish on Netflix’s long-term ability to build an ad business. They’ve hired really smart people running their ad group who know their industry, but I am worried for them about their success in the short-term because I’m not sure they’ll have the audience in the U.S. to pay off the marketer’s expectations. But I do think the ad business was inevitable.

 

As for the rest of last week’s biggest news… 

  • Roughly 94% of Disney+ users who were subscribed to its old ad-free tier kept the streaming service despite December’s $3 price hike to $10.99 per month, according to data from Antenna.
  • Veteran media executive Dawn Ostroff will join Paramount Global’s board as an independent, nonexecutive director pending a stockholder vote at Paramount’s shareholder May 8 meeting.
  • Veteran Marvel Studios executive Victoria Alonso left the studio late last week after 17 years, though the reasons for her departure are unclear, according to multiple sources.
  • Netflix will release 40 games this year and has 70 more in development with partners, along with 16 titles that are being created by its in-house game studios.
  • After announcing 18,000 layoffs in January, Amazon.com Inc. will lay off an additional 9,000 employees, including workers at its video game streaming platform Twitch, along with cuts in departments such as Amazon Web Services, People, Experience and Technology and advertising, according to a memo from Chief Executive Andy Jassy obtained by Variety.
  • FuboTV Inc. announced the rebrand of its sports-focused streaming platform from FuboTV to Fubo via a new ad campaign from actor Ryan Reynolds’ advertising agency and Fubo investor, Maximum Effort, which stars former NBA player Kevin Garnett and includes the tagline, “If Sports Fans Built a Streaming Service.”
  • The Writers Guild of America recently proposed that writers can use artificial intelligence tools such as ChatGPT to write scripts as long as it does not impact writers’ credits or residuals.
  • “Peaky Blinders” creator Steven Knight will reportedly write Lucasfilm Ltd.’s upcoming untitled “Star Wars” film, set to be helmed by “Ms. Marvel” director Sharmeen Obaid-Chinoy, following the exit of screenwriters Damon Lindelof and Justin Britt-Gibson.
  • Apple Inc. plans to spend $1 billion each year to produce films for theatrical release as a way to attract more subscribers to its Apple TV+ streaming service, according to people familiar with the company’s plans.
  • The CW laid off 15 employees across the marketing/promotional and finance divisions, including some senior vice presidents, according to sources.
 
Stat of the Week
 

50%

The year-over-year increase in the racial diversity of LGBTQ characters on film and TV, according to a new report from the Gay & Lesbian Alliance Against Defamation. However, overall representation of LGBTQ characters decreased from 637 to 596.

 
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