Top Republican warns Fed risks being ‘behind the curve’ on inflation
James Politi, Financial Times
Senator Pat Toomey says central bank may have to take ‘severe action’ unless it tightens policy soon.
Fed’s Favorite Inflation Gauge Remains High, but Gains Slowed in May
Jeanna Smialek, The New York Times
Inflation climbed in May at the fastest pace since 2008, as businesses reopening from pandemic shutdowns and strong demand continued to push prices higher, fueling anxiety among some economists and debate in Washington. The Personal Consumption Expenditures inflation index increased 3.9 percent in the year through May, in line with what economists in a Bloomberg survey had anticipated.
Americans Are Leaving Unemployment Rolls More Quickly in States Cutting Off Benefits
Eric Morath, The Wall Street Journal
The number of unemployment-benefit recipients is falling at a faster rate in Missouri and 21 other states canceling enhanced and extended payments this month, suggesting that ending the aid could push more people to take jobs. Federal pandemic aid bills boosted unemployment payments by $300 a person each week and extended those payments for as long as 18 months, well longer than the typical 26 weeks or less.
Where Jobless Benefits Were Cut, Jobs Are Still Hard to Fill
Patricia Cohen, The New York Times
By lunchtime, the representatives from the recruiting agency Express Employment Professionals decided to pack up and leave the job fair in the St. Louis suburb of Maryland Heights. Hardly anyone had shown up.
Capital-Spending Surge Further Lifts Economic Recovery
Sarah Chaney Cambon, The Wall Street Journal
Business investment is emerging as a powerful source of U.S. economic growth that will likely help sustain the recovery. Companies are ramping up orders for computers, machinery and software as they grow more confident in the outlook.
Inflation summer vs. recovery summer:Biden fights to win the narrative
Ben White, Politico
President Joe Biden faces a daunting task over the summer months:convincing Americans struggling to return to a normal life that rising prices on everything from gasoline and food to airline tickets won’t last. Republicans — seeing a potential repeat of President Barack Obama’s “Recovery Summer” of 2010 when the economy suddenly backslid after emerging from the Great Recession — have used the price spikes to attack the administration’s big-spending plans and response to the pandemic.
During Covid-19, Most Americans Got Richer—Especially the Rich
Olra McCaffrey and Shane Shifflett, The Wall Street Journal
The coronavirus pandemic plunged Americans into recession. Instead of emerging poorer, many came out ahead.U.S. households added $13.5 trillion in wealth last year, according to the Federal Reserve, the biggest increase in records going back three decades.
Fed Officials Debate Scaling Back Mortgage-Bond Purchases at Faster Clip
Paul Kiernan, The Wall Street Journal
As Federal Reserve officials discuss how to eventually scale back their easy-money policies, they are debating whether to start by reducing purchases of mortgage-backed securities to avoid adding more fuel to the housing boom. The Fed has bought $982 billion of the mortgage bonds since March 5, 2020, and currently plans to keep buying at least $40 billion each month.
New York and Other Northeast States See Large Drop in Unemployment
Bryan Mena, The Wall Street Journal
The labor-market recovery picked up momentum this spring in the Northeast, with New York, Connecticut and other nearby states posting sizable drops in unemployment last month. The jobless rate in Rhode Island decreased 0.5 percentage point in May to a seasonally adjusted 5.8%, matching the national average unemployment rate and matching Delaware for the biggest drop, according to Labor Department data.
Why Two Leading Inflation Gauges Show Different Results
Gwynn Guilford, The Wall Street Journal
The Commerce Department’s measure of inflation showed Friday that consumer prices rose 3.9% in May from a year before, a big jump but smaller than the 5% jump registered by a Labor Department measure released two weeks ago. So which is it? Both.
Commodities Remain a Popular Bet Despite Recent Declines
Ryan Dezember et al., The Wall Street Journal
Many commodities from copper to lumber have dropped from their peak pandemic prices, easing the most acute worries about an inflationary spiral. But investors remain bullish on many of them, arguing they still look cheap. Copper is down 10% from a record it hit in March. Front-month futures for corn and soybeans are off their May highs by 13% and 19%, respectively.