General
U.S. Will Borrow Estimated $2 Trillion in Second Half of 2020, Treasury Says Kate Davidson, The Wall Street Journal
The U.S. expects to borrow an additional $2 trillion in the second half of the year as federal spending ramps up to combat the coronavirus pandemic, the Treasury Department said Monday.
What Obama’s Stimulus Could Teach Congress About Big Bailouts Michael Grunwald, Politico
The last time Washington debated how much stimulus to inject into a moribund economy, the mantra inside the White House was: The more, the better. It was 2009, the nation was reeling from the mortgage meltdown and President Barack Obama’s top economic adviser, Lawrence Summers—a physical as well as intellectual heavyweight—kept telling colleagues that worrying the government would spend too much money was like worrying he would lose too many pounds.
Rubio pressed by CEOs to think bigger on small business aid Zach Warmbrodt, Politico
A bipartisan coalition of senators and top CEOs are demanding that the economic relief bill being debated by Congress include more generous aid to businesses, setting up a potential clash over spending and benefits for big corporations.
CEOs to Congress: A lot more small businesses will fail without new aid Hamza Shaban, The Washington Post
The top executives of more than 100 companies — including Starbucks, Microsoft and Mastercard — and trade groups are calling on Congress to backstop small businesses facing economic calamity.
With Jobless Aid Expired, Trump Sidelines Himself in Stimulus Talks Maggie Haberman et al., The New York Times
On the first day of the first full week when tens of millions of Americans went without the federal jobless aid that has cushioned them during the pandemic, President Trump was not cajoling undecided lawmakers to embrace a critical stimulus bill to stabilize the foundering economy. He was at the White House, hurling insults at the Democratic leaders whose support he needs to strike a deal.
Small Businesses Got Emergency Loans, but Not What They Expected Stacy Cowley, The New York Times
The S.B.A.’s disaster relief program allows for loans of up to $2 million. But now they’re capped at $150,000 — and agency officials are saying little about why.
Rescue of Troubled Trucking Company With White House Ties Draws Scrutiny Alan Rappeport, The New York Times
Members of a congressional oversight panel want to know how YRC Worldwide won a $700 million loan from the Treasury Department.
Leading WTO candidates back US bid for dispute system reforms Alan Beattie, Financial Times
The two leading candidates to run the World Trade Organization have called for reform to address US criticisms that have paralysed the institution’s highest legal body and risk undermining the entire organisation.
Biden the Former Deficit Hawk Wants to Be Biden the Big Spender Jenny Leonard and Tyler Pager, Bloomberg
Joe Biden, who’s spent decades warning about the dangers of budget deficits, will inherit one of the biggest in U.S. history if he becomes president—and he’ll be in no rush to pare it back.
The Pandemic Workday Is 48 Minutes Longer and Has More Meetings Jeff Green, Bloomberg
The researchers compared employee behavior over two 8 week periods before and after Covid-19 lockdowns. Looking at email and meeting meta-data, the group calculated the workday lasted 48.5 minutes longer, the number of meetings increased about 13% and people sent an average of 1.4 more emails per day to their colleagues.
When your second stimulus check could arrive—once Congress actually passes a new relief bill Lance Lambert, Fortune
Both Senate Republicans and House Democrats support sending another round of $1,200 stimulus checks to Americans, however, they can’t come to an agreement for the broader stimulus bill in which the checks would be included. Democrats want more money for state governments and unemployment benefits, while Republicans want the extra $600 weekly federal unemployment benefits reduced and COVID-19 lawsuit immunity for businesses.
Stocks Lose Steam With Futures; Bonds Turn Higher: Markets Wrap Todd White, Bloomberg
Stocks edged down in Europe alongside U.S. index futures while bonds turned higher as investors waited for word on whether fresh fiscal stimulus will get approvals in the world’s largest economy.
Banking
Covid Supercharges Federal Reserve as Backup Lender to the World Serena Ng and Nick Timiraos, The Wall Street Journal
When the coronavirus brought the world economy to a halt in March, it fell to the U.S. Federal Reserve to keep the wheels of finance turning for businesses across America. And when funds stopped flowing to many banks and companies outside America’s borders—from Japanese lenders making bets on U.S. corporate debt to Singapore traders needing U.S. dollars to pay for imports—the U.S. central bank stepped in again.
Google checking accounts: Why banks want in Miriam Cross and Penny Crosman, American Banker
Google has now signed up eight financial institutions as checking account partners, once again raising the question — what’s in it for them? The partners are a diverse group — three global firms (BBVA, BMO Financial Group and Citigroup), two community banks, an online bank for college students and two credit unions. Six of those, including BBVA and BMO, were announced Monday.
Killer Mike Wants to Save America’s Disappearing Black Banks Lananh Nguyen, Bloomberg
#BankBlack, a campaign promoted by Michael Render of Run the Jewels, has brought attention—and new customers—to the few remaining Black-owned financial institutions.
Financial Products and Investments
Argentina Nears $65 Billion Restructuring Deal With Bondholders Ryan Dube and Andrew Scurria, The Wall Street Journal
Argentina’s government is finalizing an agreement with a group led by BlackRock Inc. and a handful of large U.S. investment firms to restructure about $65 billion in foreign debt and resolve the country’s third sovereign default in 20 years, said people involved in the talks.
Global Insurer AIG Swings to Quarterly Loss on Substantial Losses Tied to Pandemic Leslie Scism and Maria Armental, The Wall Street Journal
Global insurance conglomerate American International Group Inc. swung to a loss for the second quarter driven in part by substantial costs tied to the pandemic as well as losses on the sale of most of its Fortitude Group Holdings LLC stake.
Beleaguered Public Pension Funds Make Record Gains in Second Quarter Heather Gillers, The Wall Street Journal
Public pension funds set a 22-year performance record in the second quarter, recovering some but not all of their losses from the first quarter.
Hedge-Fund Launches Pick Up Despite Covid-19 Pandemic Juliet Chung, The Wall Street Journal
Hedge-fund manager Gaurav Kapadia has raised one of the biggest, with more than $1 billion in committed capital for his new firm, XN LP, according to people familiar with the firm. XN invests in stock markets as well as in private companies and is up 7.4% after fees since its July 1 start, according to a person familiar with the fund. In a Monday letter to clients viewed by The Wall Street Journal, Mr. Kapadia wrote he had started fundraising in February—“what now seems a lifetime ago.”
Housing and GSEs
Top GOP lawmaker urges regulators to extend relief for renters, banks Zachary Warmbrodt, Politico
In a letter to housing and bank regulators that was obtained by POLITICO, Senate Banking Chair Mike Crapo (R-Idaho) urged the officials to use their existing authority to continue eviction protections and looser lending rules — in effect doing an end run around Congress.
Taxes
Justice Department Is Scrutinizing Takeover of Credit Karma by Intuit, Maker of TurboTax Justin Elliott and Paul Kiel, ProPublica
The Department of Justice is scrutinizing Silicon Valley giant Intuit’s $7 billion takeover attempt of Credit Karma, an upstart personal finance firm that became a competitor when it launched a free tax prep offering that challenges Intuit’s TurboTax product.
Defense contractor with billions in sales got millions in pandemic loans intended for small businesses Aaron Gregg, The Washington Post
Atlantic Diving Supply, a Virginia Beach, Va.-based reseller of specialized military gear, is the latest organization whose receipt of taxpayer-backed loans through the Paycheck Protection Program has raised questions about a program launched in early April to help sustain employment at small companies through the economic crisis.
Financial Technology
Crypto Venture Fund Raises $110 Million From Universities Olga Kharif, Bloomberg
Electric Capital, a San Francisco-based venture fund, said it will use $110 million raised from university endowments and other nonprofits to invest in cryptocurrencies and related businesses.
Filecoin to Spur Decentralized Data Storage in New Internet Era Matthew Leising, Bloomberg
Rather than have websites and data stored on servers owned by Amazon or Google, Filecoin proposes to create peer-to-peer storage much like a Bitcoin transaction is conducted between two individuals. Filecoin was created by Protocol Labs and works in conjunction with a new underlying network that’s also peer-to-peer, making the system impervious to attacks on the internet like when Egypt shut down the web within the nation during the Arab Spring protests in 2011.
Opinions, Editorials and Perspectives
The HEALS Act Is Destined for More Fraud Without Immediate Action Tom Miller, Morning Consult
The HEALS Act is attempting to breathe new life into the American economy and fuel the country’s post-pandemic rebound by providing another round of small-business aid. But unless it addresses an issue that was present in its Payroll Protection Program predecessor, the HEALS Act could usher in an onslaught of additional fraud.
Research Reports
MetLife & U.S. Chamber of Commerce Special Report on Race and Inequality on Main Street U.S. Chamber of Commerce
The poll finds that two in three (66%) minority-owned small businesses are concerned about having to permanently close their business versus 57% for non-minority small businesses. However, the gap has narrowed significantly from May, when 52% of non-minority-owned businesses said they were concerned about closing versus a staggering 78% for minority owned businesses.
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