Morning Consult Finance: What’s Ahead & Week in Review




 


Finance

Essential financial news & intel to start your day.
July 4, 2021
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Morning Consult Finance will be off Monday for the Fourth of July holiday. The newsletter will resume Tuesday.

 

Happy Fourth of July weekend. Let’s get into it. 

 

Which of the following do you think bothers voters more? 

 

A: The amount you pay in taxes 

B: The feeling that some corporations don’t pay their fair share in taxes 

C: The feeling that some wealthy people don’t pay their fair share 

D: Both B and C 

 

Look for the answer at the bottom of today’s newsletter.

 

What’s Ahead

There’s not a ton going on this short holiday week. 

 

Come hear me talk about my work. I’ll be speaking on Wednesday to whistleblower attorneys at an event organized by the Qui Tam Section of the Federal Bar Association titled “What FCA Lawyers Should Know About Journalists.” Register for free here

 

The Senate and House are out of session

 

Bank earnings are due out the week after this one, so expect a fairly quiet week from them as well, with possibly a few positive announcements sprinkled in. 

 

Federal Open Market Committee minutes are due out Wednesday for the meeting of June 15-16. Why it’s worth watching: The Federal Reserve said after its mid-June meeting to expect at least two rate hikes by the end of 2023, a quicker pace than previously anticipated. In the minutes, I’ll be checking what data the Fed is watching to speed up that timeline, and any hints about how and when the central bank will taper its economic support. 

 

Events Calendar

 

Week in Review

What a week for Robinhood: Robinhood Financial LLC filed publicly for its initial public offering, and plans to allocate between 20 percent and 35 percent of its IPO shares for retail customers. The company isn’t without its regulatory challenges, however. Earlier in the week, the Financial Industry Regulatory Authority said that Robinhood will pay a fine of nearly $70 million to settle allegations that it misled customers, didn’t supervise technology that locked users out of their accounts, had issues with technology that automated the opening of new accounts or trading strategies and updated clients about their balances. Robinhood didn’t admit guilt or deny the claims, while Finra enforcement chief Jessica Hopper said that “innovation can’t be at the cost of creating compliance and supervision systems.”

 

It could be getting moderately better to work at a financial regulator: First, one chapter of the controversy at the Public Company Accounting Oversight Board came to a close, with former Securities and Exchange Commission Chairman Harvey Pitt wrapping up his report that alleged an “environment of fear and distrust” at the auditing regulator as well as organizational dysfunction. Current SEC Chairman Gary Gensler ousted William Duhnke last month and is in the process of replacing the entire five-member board, and the agency is investigating Duhnke over his handling of complaints. 

 

A similar story is underway at the Federal Housing Finance Agency. Laura Wertheimer, the inspector general overseeing FHFA, stepped down two months after a watchdog report alleged that she abused her authority, retaliated against employees and refused to cooperate with an investigation into her conduct. 

 

Policymakers are trying to figure out how to deal with housing relief: The Supreme Court declined to lift the national moratorium on evictions for tenants impacted by the coronavirus pandemic, following a May decision by a federal judge in Washington that the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention’s moratorium was legally unsupportable. Earlier, the CDC extended the eviction moratorium for one more month through July; it was previously set to expire last week. 

 

The Fed is looking at the housing market as well. Eric Rosengren, president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said that the housing market should be considered as the central bank weighs continued monetary support to the economy, noting that the economy can’t afford a “boom and bust cycle” in the market. Rosengren said that reaching a 2 percent inflation target can’t be sustainable with a boom and bust real estate cycle.

 

Wall Street’s cop on the block gets a heavy hitter: The Securities and Exchange Commission named New Jersey Attorney General Gurbir Grewal as head of the agency’s enforcement division, a post previously held by corporate defense lawyer Alex Oh, who quit after less than a week on the job after a federal judge reprimanded her and others for defending Exxon Mobil Corp. in a lawsuit filed by Indonesian villagers. In New Jersey, Grewal led the state’s securities bureau and filed dozens of lawsuits against former President Donald Trump’s administration, ranging from loosened environmental protections to the Affordable Care Act.

 

Jobs gain in June: The Labor Department’s jobs report showed that nonfarm payrolls rose 850,000 in June, the biggest monthly rise since August, with the bulk of those gains coming from the leisure and hospitality sector. The unemployment rate rose to 5.9 percent.

 
Stat of the Week
 

58%

 

The share of voters who would back higher taxes on the wealthy and corporations to fund infrastructure.

 
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