Morning Consult Global: China to ‘Strictly Limit’ Overseas Travel for Citizens
 

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May 13, 2022
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Democrats Now More Likely to Back China Tariffs 

Democrats are now more likely to support maintaining Trump-era tariffs on imports from China than rescinding them, 44% to 28%, even if removing the tariffs could reduce inflation. At 59%, Republicans still overwhelmingly support keeping the tariffs as well.

 

Morning Consult’s head of geopolitical risk analysis, Jason McMann, delves into the implications of this newfound bipartisan common ground in his latest: In a Sharp Reversal, Democrats No Longer Support Reducing Tariffs on China to Combat Inflation.

 

Top Stories

  • China will “strictly limit” travel outside the country for its citizens as part of increasingly broad efforts to contain COVID-19 breakouts that have resulted in weekslong lockdowns of many cities. Details about who will or won’t be able to travel and the timeline for the measure are sparse, and many existing measures already prevent people from moving freely within the country. (Financial Times)
  • The White House pledged to invest $150 million to help members of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations develop infrastructure, improve security and accelerate their green economic efforts. (Nikkei Asia) U.S. President Joe Biden is also pressing his Southeast Asian counterparts to condemn Russian aggression in Ukraine more forcefully — but it’s easier said than done for states that rely heavily on Russian military equipment like Vietnam, Laos and Myanmar. (The Associated Press)
  • North Korea has reported six deaths and 18,000 new infections of what state media is referring to obliquely as a quick-spreading fever, which observers are sure can only mean COVID-19. North Korea lacks both sufficient immunization and testing capacities to effectively protect its citizens, and its medical system is among the worst on the planet, raising serious concerns about mass deaths — South Korea has offered medical support, but there’s been no response yet from Pyongyang. (The Associated Press)
  • Sri Lankan President Gotabaya Rajapaksa appointed a new prime minister after his brother, Mahinda Rajapaksa, was forced from office by unrest that escalated into deadly violence. Residences owned by members of the powerful Rajapaksa clan were burned down by protesters, and the military is occupying Colombo as the government attempts to stabilize the country amid the worst economic crisis in its modern history. (The Wall Street Journal)
 

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Events Calendar (All Times Local)

 

What Else You Need To Know

Multilateral
 

Ukraine: U.N. Human Rights Council considers war crimes probe in the Kyiv area 

Claire Parker, The Washington Post 

The United Nations Human Rights Council voted Thursday to deepen an investigation into alleged rights abuses by Russian forces near Ukraine’s capital, Kyiv, and other regions of the country.

 

UN holds emergency meeting on Taliban crackdown on women

Edith M. Lederer, The Associated Press 

The U.N. Security Council held emergency closed consultations Thursday on the Taliban’s latest crackdown on Afghan women as it considered a presidential statement that would express deep concern at the new ban by Afghanistan’s rulers on women leaving home “without necessity” and wearing head-to-toe clothing when they do go out in public.

 

UN: Ukraine war is `child rights crisis’ with school attacks

Edith M. Lederer, The Associated Press

The war in Ukraine is a “child rights crisis” where education is under attack, nearly 100 youngsters have been killed in just the last month, and millions more have been forced to flee their homes, the U.N. children’s agency said Thursday.

 

Top EU diplomat hopeful for deal at Iran nuclear talks

The Associated Press 

The European Union’s foreign policy chief said Friday he is hopeful that stalled talks with Iran over the country’s nuclear program can yield reach an agreement.

 
Asia-Pacific
 

China shuts down talk of zero covid hardship; users strike back with Shanghai video

Lily Kuo, The Washington Post 

The country’s censors were defeated, for a while, as citizens found inventive ways to upload a protest video gone viral.

 

Australia accuses China of ‘act of aggression’ as spy ship hugs coast

Nic Fildes, Financial Times 

Intelligence vessel’s path close to naval communications centre interpreted as a sign of Beijing’s growing assertiveness.

 

China ‘ready to go all out’ to support North Korea after COVID outbreak

Ifang Bremmer, NK News 

As hundreds of thousands battle ‘fever’ in North Korea, China joins WHO and South Korea in offering COVID-19 aid.

 

Malaysian FM Says ASEAN Envoy ‘Welcomes’ Idea of Engaging Myanmar’s NUG

Sebastian Strangio, The Diplomat 

Malaysian Foreign Minister Saifuddin Abdullah continues to push for a reassessment of ASEAN’s stalled approach to the country’s crisis.

 

India may be getting jittery about rising yields on government bonds 

Mimansa Verma, Quartz

The Indian government seems worried that the interest, or yield, on the bonds it issues has surged way too much. If this continues, it fears that repaying loans will drain it of considerable funds.

 

Arrest of Cardinal Zen send chills through Hong Kong’s Catholic church

Primrose Riordan and Chan Ho-him, Financial Times 

Chinese city’s diocese had already cancelled masses to commemorate Tiananmen Square protests.

 

Japan to launch first exchange for carbon emissions trading

Kensuke Yuasa and Hiroko Matsumoto, Nikkei Asia 

JPX and economy ministry will set up trial section on Tokyo bourse in September.

 
Europe
 

Ukrainian Forces Hold the Line in Donbas as Western Heavy Weapons Join the Battle

Yaroslav Trofimov, The Wall Street Journal 

With Russia failing to achieve a strategic breakthrough, a long and bloody battle for eastern Ukraine looms.

 

Ukraine Human Toll Grows, With 14 Million Displaced and 3,500 Civilian Deaths

Joanna Sugden et al., The Wall Street Journal

The U.N. says the number of deaths is likely far higher, and a top EU official says Russia is ‘the most direct threat to the world order.’

 

Russia’s Attacks on Ukraine Health Centers Show a Vicious Pattern

Lucy King and Jonah M. Kessel, The New York Times 

Whether the attacks against Ukraine’s hospitals and medical personnel amount to war crimes may eventually be a matter for the International Criminal Court in The Hague, as well as other courts and special war crimes tribunals, to decide.

 

Russia accused of industrial-scale farm plunder in Ukraine

Ben Hall, Financial Times 

Grain seizures and destruction of tools and buildings evoke painful memories of historic famine.

 

‘They were furious’: the Russian soldiers refusing to fight in Ukraine

Pjotr Sauer, The Guardian 

Troops are saying no to officers, knowing that punishment is light while Russia is not technically at war

 

After 200 Years of Neutrality, Sweden Weighs Joining NATO

Steven Erlanger, The New York Times 

Russia’s invasion of Ukraine created new fears, and the Swedes, dragged along by Finland, are expected to apply, reluctantly, to join the alliance and its collective defense.

 

Odesa residents say will stand defiant in face of Russian attacks

Eiji Furukawa, Nikkei Asia 

Putin’s war unites people in multicultural port town under Ukrainian flag.

 

Germany finds hundreds of Nazi-linked staff in security agencies

Al Jazeera 

A German interior ministry report says a three-year-long review found 327 employees linked to right-wing extremism.

 
Latin America
 

‘Terrifying’: Days of terror under Colombia’s Gulf Clan cartel 

Inigo Alexander, Al Jazeera 

Colombian armed group lay siege to communities in response to extradition of its former leader, Otoniel, to the US.

 

Costa Rica declares emergency in ongoing cyber attack

Javier Còrdoba, The Associated Press

After a month of crippling ransomware attacks, Costa Rica has declared a state of emergency. In theory, the measure usually reserved to deal with natural disasters or the COVID-19 pandemic would free up the government to react more nimbly to the crisis.

 

‘Now it will only get worse’: Cuba grapples with impact of Ukraine war 

Marc Frank, Financial Times 

Russia’s longtime ally is already struggling with food and fuel shortages and a collapse in tourism.

 

Cubans are arriving to the US in record numbers. Smugglers are profiting from their exodus

Patrick Oppman, CNN 

As Cuba confronts the worst shortages of food and medicine in decades and runaway inflation, a new exodus of the island’s citizens is underway.

 

Official: Suspects break into Haiti court, ransack offices

Evens Sanon, The Associated Press 

Unidentified suspects broke into one of Haiti’s main courthouses, ransacked judges’ offices and stole items including cell phones, Government Commissioner Jacques Lafontant told The Associated Press on Thursday.

 
Middle East and Africa
 

Slain Al Jazeera journalist to be laid to rest in Jerusalem

Joseph Krauss, The Associated Press

Thousands of Palestinians are expected to attend the funeral on Friday in Jerusalem of an Al Jazeera journalist who witnesses say was shot dead by Israeli forces earlier this week while covering a military operation in the occupied West Bank.

 

France’s foreign ministry: 2 French nationals held in Iran

The Associated Press 

France’s Foreign Ministry said Thursday that two French nationals have been arrested in Iran and French authorities have “fully mobilized” to secure their swift release.

 

Qatar’s Sheikh Tamim meets top Iranian officials in Tehran

Maziar Motamedi, Al Jazeera 

Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani meets Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and President Ebrahim Raisi.

 

UAE President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed has died

Natasha Turak, CNBC 

United Arab Emirates President Sheikh Khalifa bin Zayed al Nahyan has passed away, state news agencies said Friday.

 
North America
 

Rand Paul blocks Senate vote to advance Ukraine war aid bill 

Amy Cheng and Eugene Scott, The Washington Post 

Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) objected Thursday to a Senate vote on assistance for Ukraine, delaying passage of the bill till next week and dampening a bipartisan push to maintain steady aid to Kyiv.

 

Iran Prisoners’ Families Ask Biden to Push for Their Release as Chances of a Deal Dim

Stephen Kalin, The Wall Street Journal 

Stalled talks on Iran nuclear deal were expected to include release of detained citizens.

 

House Republican wants visa applicants to declare communist ties

Alayna Treene, Axios 

Rep. Jim Banks (R-Ind.) will soon introduce a bill that would require all non-immigrant visa applicants, including those outside China, to declare whether they’re a member of the Chinese Communist Party or another totalitarian regime, Axios has learned.

 
Opinions and Perspectives
 

Why Sri Lanka’s Crisis Has No End in Sight

Michael Kugelman, Foreign Policy

The turmoil driving unrest in Colombo and beyond has roots in the economic missteps of the last 20 years.

 

Can Lebanon’s Elections Pull the Country Out of an Abyss?

Anchal Vohra, Foreign Policy 

On Sunday, Lebanese go to the polls for the first time since their 2019 uprising.

 

US-China rift becomes a legal feud

James Kynge, Financial Times 

Trade war rhetoric has evolved into wrangling over laws and regulation in tech and finance.

 
Morning Consult