What the Data Says About Two Top-Tier Senate GOP Recruiting Targets
Govs. Chris Sununu (R-N.H.) and Doug Ducey (R-Ariz.) have been floated as star recruits in the GOP’s effort to wrest control of the Senate from Democrats next year. While Morning Consult Political Intelligence tracking suggests Sununu is the stronger potential candidate, strategists involved in the states believe those dynamics could change as the GOP looks to unseat two relatively popular Democratic incumbents.
At this stage, Sununu is more popular than Sen. Maggie Hassan (D-N.H.). Still, natural partisanship and thorny federal issues could challenge that were he to enter the Senate contest. Ducey is less popular than Sen. Mark Kelly (D-Ariz.), but the latter is entering a challenging period as Democrats in Washington move past their popular COVID-19 relief legislation.
Click here to dig into the data and my reporting on how this dynamic is playing out in the two states.
Out of an “abundance of caution,” officials at the Food and Drug Administration and the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention called for an immediate pause in use of Johnson & Johnson’s coronavirus vaccine after six U.S. women ages of 18 to 48 developed a disorder involving blood clots after receiving the single-dose drug. Almost 7 million people have received the company’s COVID-19 vaccine, and some 9 million more doses have been shipped to the states, making it a key part of the Biden administration’s mass vaccination campaign. (The New York Times)
President Joe Biden announced two nominees to lead the Department of Homeland Security’s key immigration agencies. Ur Jaddou, who worked at the immigration advocacy group America’s Voice and served as U.S. Citizenship and Immigration Services counsel during the Obama administration, will be nominated as USCIS director and Tucson Police Chief Chris Magnus of Arizona will be tapped to head U.S. Customs and Border Protection. (Roll Call)
Biden tapped Christine Wormuth to be Army secretary. If confirmed by the Senate, the former top policy official at the Defense Department during the Obama administration would be the first woman to hold the civilian role overseeing the military branch. (Politico)
Biden met for nearly two hours with a bipartisan group of lawmakers as he sought to lure Republican support for his infrastructure plan. Senate Commerce Committee ranking member Roger Wicker (R-Miss.), who was in attendance, said Biden was “highly engaged” during the meeting, but the tax increases included in his plan will be “almost impossible to sell.” (Politico)
President Biden has selected Anne Milgram, a former state attorney general, prosecutor and longtime advocate for reform of the criminal justice system, to lead the Drug Enforcement Administration, the White House announced on Monday.
President Biden said on Monday that he would nominate Chris Inglis, a 28-year veteran of the National Security Agency, to be the first national cyber director, choosing a longtime proponent of doing more to harden government and industry computer systems against hacks and other online intrusions.
The number of unaccompanied minors in US Customs and Border Protection custody, akin to jail-like conditions, has dropped 45%, according to the latest government data, amid an ongoing effort by the Biden administration to find suitable spaces to accommodate kids after facing scrutiny for overcrowded facilities.
The last time the centrifuges crashed at Iran’s underground nuclear fuel-production center at Natanz, more than a decade ago, the sabotage was the result of a joint Israeli-American cyberattack intended to slow Tehran’s progress toward nuclear weapons and force a diplomatic negotiation.
International efforts to broker a peace settlement in Afghanistan suffered a setback on Monday after the Taliban backed out of participating in a U.S.-backed summit that was slated to start later this week in Turkey, officials said.
The Biden administration announced Monday that it had reached agreements with the governments of Mexico, Honduras and Guatemala for those countries to increase enforcement against migration toward the United States border.
The Biden administration recently decided to keep the Trump-appointed US ambassador on the job in Moscow for the foreseeable future, two senior administration officials told CNN, demonstrating a willingness to nurture areas of stability in the US-Russia relationship after it got off to a tumultuous start.
Kenneth Polite, who formerly served as U.S. Attorney for the Eastern District of Louisiana, is being nominated to one of the highest ranking positions in the U.S. Department of Justice, the White House said Monday.
The Justice Department has refused to disclose key documents from the Trump administration’s planning of the “zero tolerance” policy that separated thousands of migrant families at the U.S. border, according to a document filed in a class action lawsuit in Arizona late Friday.
Senate Republicans are weighing whether to mount the first official filibuster of the new Congress — a move that would re-ignite debate over whether the minority has too much power to block most bills.
A group of 18 Republican senators on Tuesday wrote to FBI Director Christopher Wray seeking an investigation into President Biden’s nominee for a top role in the Pentagon over whether he disclosed or solicited classified information after leaving his government job in the Obama administration.
A group of top Democratic Party pollsters are set to release a public statement Tuesday acknowledging “major errors” in their 2020 polling — errors that left party officials stunned by election results that failed to come close to expectations in November.
Exiled from Twitter, former President Donald J. Trump issued a sarcastic statement recently inquiring about the ongoing public silence from John H. Durham, the special counsel who has been investigating the Trump-Russia inquiry since May 2019.
Police clashed with protesters for a second night in the Minneapolis suburb where an officer who authorities say apparently intended to fire a Taser, not a handgun, fatally shot a Black man during a traffic stop.
Former Kentucky state Rep. Charles Booker (D) launched an exploratory committee Monday to examine the possibility of challenging Sen. Rand Paul (R-Ky.) for the state’s U.S. Senate seat as Paul faces reelection next year.
Downballot Republicans have struggled to keep pace with their Democratic counterparts in campaign contributions, especially when it comes to the increasingly important online donations that powered the Democrats’ green path to the House majority in 2018.
Former UN Ambassador Nikki Haley on Monday said she would back her onetime boss, former President Donald Trump, if he decides to run for the Republican Party’s presidential nomination again in 2024 and not mount a bid against him.
Virginia Attorney General Mark R. Herring (D) on Monday said he had launched a broad civil rights probe of the police officers and department involved in the violent traffic stop of a Black Army officer.
A legislative aide in New York’s state capital grabbed the thigh of a lobbyist so hard at a fund-raiser that he left finger-shaped bruises on her skin. A top official at a state agency projected a picture of a colleague in a bikini for all to see in a meeting she was attending.
More than 300 businesses, including Google, McDonalds and Walmart, are pushing the Biden administration to nearly double the United States’ target for cuts to planet-warming emissions ahead of an April 22 global summit on climate change.
The nation’s top business leaders are pushing back against President Biden’s plans to raise corporate taxes to pay for his infrastructure plan, as corporate America wades further into a growing number of hot-button policies that put it at odds, by turns, with lawmakers and stakeholders, and test the development of its public voice.
Infrastructure is a hot issue in Washington, and it’s one that every American can relate to. During the COVID pandemic, even with much of our day-to-day travel curtailed, our transportation network and workers have kept the economy moving, bringing critical goods and services to our doorsteps.
“President Donald Trump is off to a fast start,” I wrote in a Jan. 30, 2017, column for Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales, before warning that the same “aggressiveness could produce the same sort of reaction that Barack Obama’s fast start did in 2009: It could lead to a midterm election in which voters apply the brakes.”
Asia appears to be top of mind for the Biden administration when it comes to foreign policy. Japan and South Korea were the first two international destinations of Cabinet officials after Joe Biden’s inauguration as U.S. president.