Morning Consult Washington: What’s Ahead & Week in Review




 


Washington

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December 5, 2021
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Good Sunday morning from D.C. Before we get to it, I want to introduce you to Morning Consult Global, a new vertical we’re launching tomorrow that seeks to put economic and world events into context with our proprietary research data, original reporting and smart analysis. You should subscribe here for the new newsletter from our great new colleague, Matt Kendrick (follow him on Twitter here). 

 

On to the question: Which of the following measures are Americans least likely to say are important to ensuring public safety in light of the new omicron variant of COVID-19? 

 

A. Mandatory mask usage

B. Vaccine requirements

C. Closures of businesses and government facilities

D. Travel bans

 

Read to the bottom of today’s newsletter to find out the answer.

 

What’s Ahead

Biden-Putin meeting: President Joe Biden and Russian President Vladimir Putin are set to speak Tuesday, for the first time since July.

 

What we’re watching: Biden’s virtual meeting with Putin comes as tensions on Russia’s border with Ukraine continue to rise. Ukrainian officials have said Russia could invade next month, and Biden is also tentatively scheduled to talk with Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy later in the week.  

 

Congressional deadlines: With the government funded until Feb. 19, Congress is turning its attention to two rapidly approaching deadlines: the expiration of the National Defense Authorization Act at the end of the year and the need to raise the federal debt limit.

 

What we’re watching: The otherwise unrelated issues are reportedly coming up in the same conversations on Capitol Hill, with Senate leaders discussing tying the two measures together as part of a year-end package. Both House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer (D-Md.) and House Minority Leader Kevin McCarthy (R-Calif.) have poured cold water on the idea, and Hoyer is pushing to pass each item separately this week.

 

Build Back Better: Senate Majority Leader Chuck Schumer (D-N.Y.) is said to be planning to bring the Build Back Better Act to the Senate floor as soon as next week, with lawmakers hoping to get the massive climate and social spending bill to Biden’s desk by the end of the year

 

What we’re watching: Schumer’s got a lot of work ahead of him, with Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) reportedly on the precipice of killing the inclusion of a national paid family and medical leave program and Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) still withholding her public support for the overall package. And according to Punchbowl News, the Arizonan is telling colleagues she does not think the Build Back Better Act will pass the Senate before Christmas.

 

Jan. 6 committee: The select House committee investigating the Jan. 6 Capitol attack is reportedly looking to subpoena the phone records of members of Congress who are thought to have been associated with the rioters. 

 

What we’re watching: The fact that the panel hasn’t taken this step is notable given the speed of the rest of its investigation that has brought interviews with roughly 250 people so far and the cooperation of former White House chief of staff Mark Meadows. Along with the panel’s review of fellow lawmakers, the House has another decision to make: whether to move forward with a criminal contempt recommendation for former Justice Department official Jeffrey Clark,  who refused to answer lawmakers’ questions during a recent deposition before he cited his Fifth Amendment right against self-incrimination. The panel opted to give Clark another chance to appear before lawmakers yesterday, but that was postponed due to a medical issue, and Clark is now scheduled to appear on Dec. 16.

 

Boebert saga: House Democratic leaders are under mounting pressure to censure or strip Rep. Lauren Boebert (R-Colo.) of her committee assignments over her racist and Islamophobic remarks about Rep. Ilhan Omar (D-Minn.). 

 

What we’re watching: A number of Democrats believe that if they take punishing Boebert into their own hands, it will take pressure off of McCarthy and the House Republican Conference to act against their own – something the minority leader is refusing to do despite raising concerns about the “problems” he sees Boeber and others causing for the midterms. A potential fallback option is a House resolution that condemns Islamophobia without naming Boebert. 

 

Future of Iran deal: Talks between Iran and world powers to restore the 2015 nuclear accords have stalled, suggesting a collapse may be imminent after months of negotiations. 

 

What we’re watching: Diplomats are set to return to Vienna this week to see if there’s a path forward to advance one of Biden’s chief foreign policy goals, but Tehran’s representatives are refusing to budge. And inaction is already having grave consequences: According to Axios, Israel has shared intelligence with the United States that shows Iran is taking steps to enrich uranium to the level needed to produce a nuclear weapon. 

 

Events Calendar

 

Week in Review

Another Greek letter enters the lexicon 

Americans are dealing with omicron, another new variant of COVID-19 that threatens public health, the economic recovery and, consequently, public sentiment about the Biden presidency.

 

In an effort to get out in front of a potential surge as the variant landed in the United States, Biden announced new steps to target the virus, including a push for more vaccinations and booster shots, additional testing on people arriving in the country and a plan to make at-home testing free for Americans covered by private health insurance. White House aides are also reportedly considering whether to go to Congress in search of new funding to take on the virus.

 

On the vaccination front, public health officials have recommended all vaccinated Americans get booster shots, and regulators are working for a quick review of vaccines and drugs to fight the omicron variant, reportedly meeting with drugmakers and setting guidelines to quickly evaluate shots and treatments.

 

There might be a new appetite among some in the public to get the shots. As Biden cited in remarks from the White House, a new Morning Consult poll found 3 in 10 unvaccinated adults said that given the new variant, they’d consider getting a COVID-19 vaccine.

 

At the same time, the push to coerce some people to get the shots has hit a roadblock: In response to a lawsuit from Louisiana and 13 other states, a federal judge in Louisiana issued a nationwide injunction blocking the Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services’ COVID-19 vaccine mandate for more than 10 million health care workers that was set to go into effect next week. It followed another injunction issued by a federal judge in response to a case brought by Missouri that barred it from taking effect in 10 states.

 

And then there’s the blame game. 

 

One of those lawsuits was brought by an attorney general seeking the Republican nomination for Senate next year. On Capitol Hill, some Republicans threatened to shut down the government over vaccine mandates. And Republican governors with aspirations for higher office have pushed back on efforts to stem the pandemic. 

 

In a rare aside on his political rivals, Biden called the politicization of the virus a “sad, sad commentary,” and blamed people “on the other team” for endangering the nation’s credit to push back against the vaccination push, adding, “Go figure.”

 

Campaigns

Two more House Democrats are calling it quits. In New York, Rep. Tom Suozzi said he will run for governor, joining the crowded field challenging Democratic incumbent Gov. Kathy Hochul. And House Transportation Committee Chairman Peter DeFazio of Oregon said he will not run for re-election next year, setting up a Democratic primary in his district that’s expected to lean further left after redistricting. 

 

Respectively, the lawmakers became the 18th and 19th House Democrats to announce plans to vacate the premises after the midterm elections in what’s widely seen as a tell-tale sign of a caucus that’s headed for a return to the minority.

 

But it’s not all good news for the Republican Party. 

 

Democrat Stacey Abrams announced a campaign for governor of Georgia – a bid that could set up a rematch against Republican Gov. Brian Kemp should he win his primary election next year. And in Massachusetts, the GOPs best hopes of holding the governor’s mansion – incumbent Charlie Baker, America’s second-most popular state executive, per our polling – said he would not seek re-election, a move that prompted new talk of Labor Secretary Marty Walsh returning to the state to seek the job.

 

And then there’s Pennsylvania, where the competitive primary for the Republican nomination to replace retiring Sen. Pat Toomey was rocked late last month by the exit of Trump-backed candidate Sean Parnell. Mehmet Oz, a celebrity heart surgeon made famous by Oprah Winfrey, announced his bid for the seat, and he could soon be joined by former Rep. Keith Rothfus and hedge fund executive David McCormick, the CEO of Bridgewater Associates.

Stat of the Week
 

44%

That’s the share of suburban voters who approve of Biden, similar to the 41 percent who backed Trump’s job performance at this point in 2017: Voters Aren’t Rewarding Biden for Democrats’ Legislative Wins.

 
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