CORONAVIRUS TREND TRACKER
How the Coronavirus Outbreak Is Impacting Public Opinion
Updating daily to track how the pandemic is shaping our politics, economy, culture and daily life

Understanding the evolving public response to the coronavirus outbreak is vital in grasping the nature of this crisis and mapping where we go next. On a weekly basis, Morning Consult is conducting thousands of surveys to track the ways the outbreak is impacting our politics, economy, culture, and daily life. Every day, we’ll comb through the latest data and update this page with the key takeaways and trends you need to understand.

 

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THE LATEST
Nearly a Quarter of Americans Feel Comfortable Going to Shopping Malls or Out to Eat; Reopening Economies Hasn’t Meaningfully Boosted Consumer Confidence

As more local economies slowly reopen amid the ongoing pandemic, businesses across the country are facing a new challenge: Not everyone is comfortable venturing out just yet. Morning Consult is tracking consumers’ comfort level returning to the public sphere for pastimes, such as going to the movies or to the gym, amid the ongoing threat of COVID-19. As of mid-May, fewer than a quarter of U.S. adults say they feel safe engaging in a range of leisure activities. Read more

Reopening economies hasn’t meaningfully boosted consumer confidence: A new analysis finds the recent fall in consumer confidence didn’t start with statewide shutdowns, and reopenings haven’t provided a boost. While the state-level shutdowns may have exacerbated the fall in confidence in late March, consumers had been already growing less optimistic about the economy. Consumer confidence across all 50 states had begun to decrease by March 19, before any of the states issued stay-at-home orders. Similarly, consumer confidence stabilized across most states in mid-April before the first states began reopening their economies. Read more

Voters trust Biden over Trump on containing the COVID-19 outbreak; Trump maintains edge on the economic recovery: The coronavirus outbreak and related economic downturn will almost certainly be the top issue for voters in November. Which presidential candidate this favors will likely hinge on what aspect of the crisis is most at the forefront of voters’ minds, as new polling indicates. When it comes to containing the spread of the coronavirus, former Vice President Joe Biden has opened up a 7-point lead against President Donald Trump in terms of voter trust: 42 percent trust Biden more on this issue, while 35 percent trust Trump more. Biden is also favored by 6 points in terms of “leadership during a crisis” and by 11 points when it comes to “uniting the country.” For context, the latest Morning Consult head-to-head polling shows Biden leading Trump by 5 points nationally, 46 percent to 41 percent. 

However, if the virus appears relatively under control by the fall and voters are more focused on rebuilding the economy, those conditions could be more favorable for Trump: 43 percent of voters trust Trump more on the post-pandemic economic recovery, while 40 percent trust Biden more. Trump leads by a similar margin on the broader topics of “jobs” and “the economy.”

 

Who do you trust more to handle each of the following?

Here are the other key findings for this week:

⇾ Gen Z already sees the coronavirus outbreak as the most impactful event of their lifetimes. Read more

73 percent of U.S. adults say the Chinese government bears at least some responsibility for the current deaths, tied with “Americans who didn’t socially distance” as the most blamed entity. Read more

Half of voters say the U.S. is moving too quickly to reopen. Read more

From peak to trough, consumer confidence fell by 20 times its pre-COVID daily standard deviation, whereas stock prices fell by only six times. Read more

⇾ Consumer Confidence has not materially increased in states that are reopening earlier. Read more

Democrats and Republicans have diverging views on the true death toll. Read more

  Voters continue to believe social distancing is worth the potential economic cost. Read more

⇾ A decreasing share of Americans believe there’s a severe health risk in their community. Read more

Tesla’s favorability among Republicans has tied a 52-week high, while unfavorability among Democrats has hit a 52-week high. Read more

⇾ Seventy-nine percent of voters said they think a second wave of coronavirus cases is likely in the next year. Read more

 

 

NAVIGATE WITHIN THE REPORT:
PART ONE
Personal Impact and Concern Over the Outbreak

How the outbreak is personally affecting the lives of Americans, what they’re most concerned about and how they’re responding to the health implications.

PERSONAL IMPACT
How Concerned Americans are About the Virus's Spread
The share of U.S. adults who are "very" concerned about the coronavirus outbreak, by generation
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
Republicans Less Likely to Say the Outbreak Is a Severe Health Risk in Their Community
The share of U.S. adults who say the coronavirus is a severe health risk in their local community:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
64% of Americans Say They Would Get COVID-19 Vaccine
The share of U.S. adults who say how they would respond if a vaccine that protects people from the coronavirus were to become available
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 1-3, 2020.

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
The Share of Republicans Socializing in Public Places Has Nearly Doubled In the Last 2 Weeks
The share of U.S. adults who say that they are either “continuing to socialize in public places” or “continuing to socialize in public places, but less than before.”
In addition to those responses, respondents could also select the following: “I am not going to public places, but I am socializing with friends or family in my or their homes,” “I am not going to public places or interacting in-person, but I am socializing with friends or family virtually,“ and “I am not going to public places nor am I socializing with family or friends.”
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

 

PART TWO
Economic Impact and Personal Finances

How the outbreak is shifting views of the economy, personal finances and consumer confidence, as well as employment and local economic conditions. 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
More Than 8 in 10 Americans Are Concerned About the Impact on Their Local Economy
Share of U.S. adults who are concerned about the coronavirus impact on the economy:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17,, 2020.

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
Where Consumer Confidence Stands in All 50 States
The Morning Consult Index of Consumer Sentiment by state as of May 15, 2020
Each day, Morning Consult surveys over 6,000 U.S. consumers on their views regarding current and future personal financial conditions and business conditions in the country as a whole. The results from those survey interviews are inputted into the Morning Consult Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS), with higher numbers indicating higher consumer confidence. For context, the ICS at a national level was 86.3 as of May 15.
This data comes from Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, which surveys nearly 15,000 respondents globally on a daily basis on their personal finances and economic outlook
ECONOMIC IMPACT
Republicans Increasingly Concerned About Economic Impact of the Outbreak
The share of U.S. adults who say they are more concerned about the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak than the public health impact:
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,990 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

 

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
Voters Continue to Believe Social Distancing is Worth the Potential Economic Cost
The share of registered voters who agree “Americans should continue to social distance for as long as is needed to curb the spread of coronavirus even if it means continued damage to the economy.” Respondents could also choose the response “Americans should stop social distancing to stimulate the economy even if it means increasing the spread of coronavirus,” or that they don’t know or don’t have an opinion.
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,990 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

 

PART THREE
Political Impact and Governmental Responses

Evaluating the political ramifications of the coronavirus outbreak and gauging how Americans are rating the governmental response.

POLITICAL IMPACT
Net Approval of Trump's Coronavirus Response Remains Underwater
Net approval (approval minus disapproval) among registered voters of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Support for Leaders’ Handling of the Outbreak is Falling Across the Board
Net approval (approval minus disapproval) among registered voters of each of the following’s handling of the coronavirus:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
The CDC and Fauci Are the Most Trusted Voices on Coronavirus
The share of registered voters who say they have “a lot” or “some” trust in each of the following if they were to recommend ending social distancing guidance:
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,990 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 15-17, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
The Words Americans Say Best Describe Trump’s Coronavirus Briefings
The share of U.S. adults who say each the following words describe Trump’s press conferences well:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted April 22-24, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Approval Ratings of World Leaders Remain Elevated as Outbreak Continues
The share of adults in each country who approve of their respective head of state:
This data comes from Morning Consult Political Intelligence and is based on an average of over 3,000 weekly interviews per non-U.S. leader, and over 49.000 weekly interviews for Trump. The latest data is based on surveys conducted May 13-20, 2020
PART FOUR
Consumer and Cultural Impact

How the outbreak is changing consumer habits, impacting perceptions of corporate brands and changing the cultural landscape. 

CONSUMER IMPACT
High-Income Earners Most Likely to Say They’re Spending Less Amid Outbreak
The share of U.S. adults who say they’re spending less since the COVID-19 pandemic spread to the U.S.
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 8-10, 2020.

 

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
Few Americans Believe Now is a Good Time to Make Major Household Purchases
The share of U.S. adults who say that now is a good time for people to buy major household items:
This data comes from Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, which surveys nearly 15,000 respondents globally on a daily basis on their personal finances and economic outlook

 

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
How Purchasing Consideration Has Shifted in Key Areas
The share of U.S. adults who said they are more likely to buy the following, based on fears over the coronavirus:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted April 24-26 is , 2020.

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
Republicans Respond Positively to Tesla’s Reopening; Democrats Do Not
The share of U.S. adults who say they have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Tesla
This data comes from Morning Consult Brand Intelligence, and is based on average of 1,315 survey interviews per week, conducted between May 2019 and May 2020

 

 

 

 

About

The data on this page primarily comes from four sources: a twice-weekly survey (latest here) dedicated to tracking the coronavirus, the weekly Morning Consult/Politico poll tracking topical political events (latest here), Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, and Brand Intelligence.

Page design and updates by Nick Laughlin. Notice any issues? Email us.

 

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