CORONAVIRUS TREND TRACKER
How the Coronavirus Outbreak Is Impacting Public Opinion
Updating daily to track how the pandemic is shaping our politics, economy, culture and daily life

Understanding the evolving public response to the coronavirus outbreak is vital in grasping the nature of this crisis and mapping where we go next. On a weekly basis, Morning Consult is conducting thousands of surveys to track the ways the outbreak is impacting our politics, economy, culture, and daily life. Every day, we’ll comb through the latest data and update this page with the key takeaways and trends you need to understand.

 

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THE LATEST: THURSDAY, JUNE 4
Voter Optimism Hits New Low of Trump Presidency Amid Pandemic and Protests

Two major crises playing out at the same time in the United States — the deadly coronavirus pandemic and social unrest over the deaths of black people that has erupted into nationwide demonstrations — have helped erode voters’ confidence in the direction of the country to its lowest point of Donald Trump’s presidency. Thirty-one percent of voters believe the United States is headed in the right direction, while 69 percent said it has “pretty seriously” gotten off on the wrong track. The gap between the two figures is the widest measured in all of the 171 weekly polls conducted since Trump took office in January 2017. Read more

Featured chart: Most Americans are wearing masks. Those who don’t are far more likely to be socializing in public places: Despite early conflicting signals about the efficacy of mask usage, most Americans have quickly adopted the practice amid the coronavirus outbreak. A new poll finds 65 percent of U.S. adults “always” wear masks when going to public places where they might interact with people, and another 19 percent do so at least “sometimes.” However, it’s also the case that those Americans who “rarely” or “never” wear face masks are notably more comfortable entering public spaces at this juncture.

The polling also finds that non-mask wearers comfort levels are directly translating to their behavior. Forty-five percent of non-mask wearers say they are continuing to socialize in public places – three times the share of mask wearers (15 percent). Read more

Voter sentiment on Trump’s pandemic response hits new low: Voter sentiment about President Donald Trump’s handling of the coronavirus pandemic reached a new nadir as reports emerged that the United States had surpassed 100,000 deaths attributed to COVID-19. Forty-one percent of registered voters approve of Trump’s management of the public health crisis while 53 percent disapprove, according to a May 29-June 1 poll, his worst marks since Morning Consult began tracking public opinion on the pandemic in February. Read more

The share of Americans socializing publicly continues to rise: More than 1 in 5 Americans now say they are socializing in public places amid the coronavirus outbreak, the highest level since Morning Consult began tracking in early April. Republicans are more than twice as likely (31 percent) as Democrats (15 percent) to say they’re socializing in public places. Read more

 

 

Here are the other key findings for this week:

40 percent of  voters approve of how Congress is handling the coronavirus, while 47 percent disapprove – the lowest net approval rating since Morning Consult began tracking. Read more

Reopening economies hasn’t meaningfully boosted consumer confidence. Read more

Fewer than a quarter of U.S. adults say they feel safe engaging in a range of leisure activities, such as going to the movies or to the gym. Read more

⇾ Gen Z already sees the coronavirus outbreak as the most impactful event of their lifetimes. Read more

73 percent of U.S. adults say the Chinese government bears at least some responsibility for the current deaths, tied with “Americans who didn’t socially distance” as the most blamed entity. Read more

Half of voters say the U.S. is moving too quickly to reopen. Read more

From peak to trough, consumer confidence fell by 20 times its pre-COVID daily standard deviation, whereas stock prices fell by only six times. Read more

Democrats and Republicans have diverging views on the true death toll. Read more

  Voters continue to believe social distancing is worth the potential economic cost. Read more

⇾ Seventy-nine percent of voters said they think a second wave of coronavirus cases is likely in the next year. Read more

 

 

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
Concern About the Virus's Spread Has Dipped Since Early April Peak
The share of U.S. adults who are "very" concerned about the coronavirus outbreak, by generation
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
Republicans Less Likely to Say the Outbreak Is a Severe Health Risk in Their Community
The share of U.S. adults who say the coronavirus is a severe health risk in their local community:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

PERSONAL IMPACT
The Share of Republicans Socializing in Public Places Has Nearly Tripled Since Late April
The share of U.S. adults who say that they are either “continuing to socialize in public places” or “continuing to socialize in public places, but less than before.”
In addition to those responses, respondents could also select the following: “I am not going to public places, but I am socializing with friends or family in my or their homes,” “I am not going to public places or interacting in-person, but I am socializing with friends or family virtually,“ and “I am not going to public places nor am I socializing with family or friends.”
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
More Than 8 in 10 Americans Are Concerned About the Impact on Their Local Economy
Share of U.S. adults who are concerned about the coronavirus impact on the economy:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

 

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
Where Consumer Confidence Stands in All 50 States
The Morning Consult Index of Consumer Sentiment by state as of May 15, 2020
Each day, Morning Consult surveys over 6,000 U.S. consumers on their views regarding current and future personal financial conditions and business conditions in the country as a whole. The results from those survey interviews are inputted into the Morning Consult Index of Consumer Sentiment (ICS), with higher numbers indicating higher consumer confidence. For context, the ICS at a national level was 86.3 as of May 15.
This data comes from Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, which surveys nearly 15,000 respondents globally on a daily basis on their personal finances and economic outlook
ECONOMIC IMPACT
Republicans Increasingly Concerned About Economic Impact of the Outbreak
The share of U.S. adults who say they are more concerned about the economic impact of the coronavirus outbreak than the public health impact:
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,981 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

 

 

ECONOMIC IMPACT
Voters Continue to Believe Social Distancing is Worth the Potential Economic Cost
The share of registered voters who agree “Americans should continue to social distance for as long as is needed to curb the spread of coronavirus even if it means continued damage to the economy.” Respondents could also choose the response “Americans should stop social distancing to stimulate the economy even if it means increasing the spread of coronavirus,” or that they don’t know or don’t have an opinion.
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,981 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Net Approval of Trump's Coronavirus Response Remains Underwater
Net approval (approval minus disapproval) among registered voters of Trump’s handling of the coronavirus
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Support for Leaders’ Handling of the Outbreak is Falling Across the Board
Net approval (approval minus disapproval) among registered voters of each of the following’s handling of the coronavirus:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 29 - June 1, 2020.

 

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Voters Increasingly Trust Congressional Democrats Over Republicans to Handle the Coronavirus
Who do you trust more to handle coronavirus?
This data comes from the weekly Morning Consult/Politico survey, which is based on 1,986 surveys with registered voters, conducted May 22-26, 2020.

 

POLITICAL IMPACT
Approval Ratings of World Leaders Remain Elevated as Outbreak Continues
The share of adults in each country who approve of their respective head of state:
This data comes from Morning Consult Political Intelligence and is based on an average of over 3,000 weekly interviews per non-U.S. leader, and over 49.000 weekly interviews for Trump. The latest data is based on surveys conducted May 27 - June 2, 2020

 

 

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
High-Income Earners Most Likely to Say They’re Spending Less Amid Outbreak
The share of U.S. adults who say they’re spending less since the COVID-19 pandemic spread to the U.S.
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted May 8-10, 2020.

 

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
Few Americans Believe Now is a Good Time to Make Major Household Purchases
The share of U.S. adults who say that now is a good time for people to buy major household items:
This data comes from Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, which surveys nearly 15,000 respondents globally on a daily basis on their personal finances and economic outlook

 

 

CONSUMER IMPACT
How Purchasing Consideration Has Shifted in Key Areas
The share of U.S. adults who said they are more likely to buy the following, based on fears over the coronavirus:
This data comes from Morning Consult's weekly coronavirus survey tracker, based on 2,200 surveys of U.S. adults. The latest survey was conducted April 24-26 is , 2020.

 

 

 

About

The data on this page primarily comes from four sources: a twice-weekly survey (latest here) dedicated to tracking the coronavirus, the weekly Morning Consult/Politico poll tracking topical political events (latest here), Morning Consult Economic Intelligence, and Brand Intelligence.

Page design and updates by Nick Laughlin. Notice any issues? Email us.

 

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