June 6, 2014 at 5:00 am ET
Despite the varying news climate over time, attitudes about the Affordable Care Act (ACA) have been remarkably stable. National surveys from NBC/WSJ, Kaiser Family Foundation, and Washington Post-ABC News consistently show that voters have a net negative opinion about the health care law regardless of the scale used to measure attitudes (Good Idea/Bad Idea, Favorable/Unfavorable, or Support/Oppose). This trend of stronger opposition to the law than support continues to be true in 2014.
But when it comes down to it, will the health care law be a vote issue in the Congressional elections this year? Yes.
Public Opinion Strategies has conducted multiple national polls this year measuring voter attitudes about the health care law and the impact the law may have on reported vote behavior this cycle.
Support/Oppose Health Care Law by Impact of Candidate’s Position in
Determining Vote for Congress
|Most Important Factor (9%)||Major Factor (51%)||Minor/Not Important Factor (39%)|
This data is from a national poll conducted by Public Opinion Strategies and Peter Hart released in March, but is consistent and data was replicated on a proprietary national poll we just finished in late May.
Generic Congressional & Health Care Law Ballot Among Independents
|Generic Congressional Ballot||Health Care Law Congressional Ballot|
These surveys show that a candidate’s position on the ACA does have an impact on how the majority of people are going to vote for Congress this election cycle and it clearly outlines how problematic this issue could be for Democratic candidates in 2014.