On a daily basis, Morning Consult is surveying over 5,000 registered voters across the United States on the 2020 presidential election. Every week, we’ll update this page with the latest survey data, offering an in-depth guide to how the race for the White House is shaping up.
Our latest results are based on 35,888 surveys with registered voters, including 15,259 surveys with Democratic primary voters, conducted from Jan. 27-Feb. 2, 2020.
Biden’s Support Ebbs to Lowest Point of 2020 Cycle
Heading into the Iowa caucuses, former Vice President Joe Biden fell to 28 percent support among Democratic primary voters nationwide — the lowest share measured since Morning Consult began tracking in early 2019. Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) trails Biden by 4 percentage points going into the first nominating contest of the year, the smallest margin recorded since early March.
Bloomberg Pulls Even With Warren
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg picked up another 2 points among Democratic primary voters across the country, pulling even with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) at 14 percent first-choice support. The latest survey testing hypothetical matchups between the top Democratic candidates and President Trump also brings good news for the billionaire businessman: Bloomberg leads the Republican incumbent by 7 points, the largest margin Morning Consult has measured among any candidate since it began releasing head-to-head results in early January.
The figures are broken out among Democratic primary voters nationwide and 14 other demographics.
Hover over or click each line to track how support for candidates has changed week to week.
After voters registered their first choice, they were asked a follow-up about whom they would choose as a second option. The results below show where the supporters for a selection of leading candidates could go next. Hover over or click cards to see more.
About Morning Consult Political Intelligence
On a daily basis, Morning Consult surveys over 5,000 registered voters across the United States. Along with 2020 presidential election data, Political Intelligence tracks the approval ratings for all governors, senators, House members, the president, and more at the national, state and congressional district level.
Each week, we will release a report with the most important findings on the 2020 election. Sign up to receive that report in your inbox here.
Results from the most recent update
This page was last updated on February 3, 2020.
Our latest results are based on 35,888 surveys with registered voters, including 15,259 surveys with Democratic primary voters, conducted Jan. 27-Feb 2, 2020. The interviews were conducted online, and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region.
Our Democratic primary results are reported using interviews with registered voters who indicated they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus in their state. Those who say they don’t know or have no opinion are asked to pick a candidate they are leaning toward. Results are reported among first choice and those who lean toward a candidate. The responses among all Democratic primary voters have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage point. The “Early Primary State Voters” demographic consists of 682 voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points. The “Super Tuesday Voters” demographic consists of 4,997 voters in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.
The “Hypothetical General-Election Matchups” section displays responses among all registered voters — not just those who indicated they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus in their state — and those matchups have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.
In the case of a tie, candidates are ordered alphabetically by last name.