On a daily basis, Morning Consult is surveying over 5,000 registered voters across the United States on the 2020 presidential election. Every week, we’ll update this page with the latest survey data, offering an in-depth guide to how the race for the White House is shaping up.
Our latest results feature 29,721 surveys with registered voters, including 12,402 surveys with Democratic primary voters, conducted from Jan. 15-19, 2020.
Bloomberg Continues His Rise
Former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg rises to 10% nationally, leading former Mayor Pete Buttigieg by 2 points and trailing Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) by 5 points. Although he was not on the January debate stage, his net favorability has risen to +31, an increase of 8 points, following the debate last week.
Sanders’ Favorability Takes a Dive Amid Warren Clash
Democratic primary voters’ perception of Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) took a dive amid his clash with Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.) over whether he said a woman cannot win the presidency. His net favorability fell 6 points since before his clash with Warren, though there was no movement in his overall first-choice support. (Read more here.)
The figures are broken out among Democratic primary voters nationwide and 14 other demographics.
Hover over or click each line to track how support for candidates has changed week to week.
After voters registered their first choice, they were asked a follow-up about whom they would choose as a second option. The results below show where the supporters for a selection of leading candidates could go next. Hover over or click cards to see more.
Respondents were asked whether they had a favorable impression of each of the following, and also had the option of saying they hadn’t heard of that person or had no opinion about them. Candidates are ordered by name recognition, and in the case of a tie, alphabetically by last name.
All registered voters were asked who they would vote for if the 2020 presidential election were held today, each of the following or President Donald Trump.
About Morning Consult Political Intelligence
On a daily basis, Morning Consult surveys over 5,000 registered voters across the United States. Along with 2020 presidential election data, Political Intelligence tracks the approval ratings for all governors, senators, House members, the president, and more at the national, state and congressional district level.
Each week, we will release a report with the most important findings on the 2020 election. Sign up to receive that report in your inbox here.
Results from the most recent update
This page was last updated on January 22, 2020.
Our latest results feature 29,721 surveys with registered voters, including 12,402 surveys with Democratic primary voters, conducted January 15-19, 2020. The interviews were conducted online, and the data were weighted to approximate a target sample of registered voters based on age, race/ethnicity, gender, educational attainment, and region.
Our Democratic primary results are reported using 12,402 interviews with registered voters who indicated they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus in their state. For those who say don’t know or no opinion, they are asked to pick a candidate they are leaning toward. Results are reported among first choice and those who lean toward a candidate. The interviews were collected Jan. 15 through Jan. 19, 2020, and have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 percentage point. The “Early Primary State Voters” demographic consists of 530 voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 4 points. The “Super Tuesday Voters” demographic consists of 4,073 voters in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont and Virginia, and has a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.
The “Hypothetical General-Election Matchups” section displays responses among all registered voters — not just those who indicated they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus in their state — and those matchups have a margin of error of plus or minus 1 point.
In the case of a tie, candidates are ordered alphabetically by last name.