Get Morning Consult’s Latest Gen Z Data & Insights. Sign Up

Get Morning Consult’s Latest Gen Z Data & Insights. Sign Up

Updated Data 06/17/2019
Political Intelligence
The State of the Democratic Primary

On a daily basis, Morning Consult is surveying over 5,000 registered voters across the United States on the 2020 presidential election. Every Monday, we’ll update this page with the latest survey data, offering an in-depth guide to how the race for the Democratic nomination is shaping up. 

 

To receive an early look at this report, and other key 2020 data, sign up here.

Who’s Leading Now

The figures are broken out among Democratic primary voters nationwide and in early primary states, which includes just voters who live in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada.

The latest results are based on 17,226 interviews with registered voters, collected from June 10 – 16, 2019.

1
Joe Biden Former Vice President
38%
2
Bernie Sanders U.S. Senator
19%
3
Elizabeth Warren U.S. Senator
11%
4
Pete Buttigieg Mayor
7%
Kamala Harris U.S. Senator
7%
6
Beto O'Rourke Former U.S. Representative
4%
7
Cory Booker U.S. Senator
3%
8
Julian Castro Former Secretary, HUD
1%
John Delaney Former U.S. Representative
1%
Tulsi Gabbard U.S. Representative
1%
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senator
1%
John Hickenlooper Former Governor
1%
Amy Klobuchar U.S. Senator
1%
Tim Ryan U.S. Representative
1%
Marianne Williamson Activist & Author
1%
Andrew Yang Business Person
1%
Michael Bennet U.S. Senator
1%
18
Steve Bullock Governor
0%
Bill de Blasio Mayor
0%
Jay Inslee Governor
0%
Seth Moulton U.S. Representative
0%
Eric Swalwell U.S. Representative
0%
Someone else
2%
See more  candidates
Tracking The Field Over Time

Hover over or click each line to track how support for candidates has changed week to week.

Second Choices: Where Voters Could Migrate

After voters registered their first choice, they were asked a follow-up about who they would choose as a second option. The results below show where the supporters for a selection of leading candidates could go next. Hover over or click cards to see more.

Biden Supporters
Bernie Sanders
U.S. Senator
Biden Supporters
Second Choice Selections
Bernie Sanders
29%
Kamala Harris
13%
Elizabeth Warren
13%
Sanders Supporters
Joe Biden
Former Vice President
Sanders Supporters
Second Choice Selections
Joe Biden
33%
Elizabeth Warren
21%
Kamala Harris
7%
Warren Supporters
Kamala Harris
U.S. Senator
Warren Supporters
Second Choice Selections
Kamala Harris
22%
Bernie Sanders
19%
Joe Biden
19%
Buttigieg Supporters
Joe Biden
Former Vice President
Buttigieg Supporters
Second Choice Selections
Joe Biden
23%
Elizabeth Warren
23%
Kamala Harris
16%
Harris Supporters
Joe Biden
Former Vice President
Harris Supporters
Second Choice Selections
Joe Biden
25%
Elizabeth Warren
21%
Bernie Sanders
12%
Tracking Name Recognition and Favorability

Respondents were asked whether they had a favorable impression of each of the following, and also had the option of saying they hadn’t heard of that person or had no opinion about them.

Favorable
Heard Of, No Opinion
Never Heard Of
Unfavorable
Bernie Sanders U.S. Senator
74% 7% 1% 18%
Joe Biden Former Vice President
77% 6% 2% 15%
Elizabeth Warren U.S. Senator
61% 13% 10% 16%
Kamala Harris U.S. Senator
53% 15% 19% 13%
Beto O'Rourke Former U.S. Representative
47% 20% 20% 13%
Cory Booker U.S. Senator
47% 19% 21% 13%
Kirsten Gillibrand U.S. Senator
36% 24% 26% 14%
Pete Buttigieg Mayor
44% 17% 28% 11%
Julian Castro Former Secretary, HUD
30% 28% 29% 12%
Bill de Blasio Mayor
21% 27% 31% 21%
Amy Klobuchar U.S. Senator
33% 22% 33% 13%
Tim Ryan U.S. Representative
19% 31% 36% 14%
John Delaney Former U.S. Representative
17% 33% 40% 11%
John Hickenlooper Former Governor
20% 24% 45% 11%
Steve Bullock Governor
16% 30% 45% 9%
Andrew Yang Business Person
22% 24% 45% 9%
Michael Bennet U.S. Senator
18% 27% 47% 8%
Jay Inslee Governor
20% 23% 48% 9%
Tulsi Gabbard U.S. Representative
19% 20% 48% 13%
Eric Swalwell U.S. Representative
19% 19% 53% 9%
Seth Moulton U.S. Representative
13% 21% 56% 10%
Marianne Williamson Activist & Author
14% 19% 58% 8%
Methodology

About Morning Consult Political Intelligence

On a daily basis, Morning Consult surveys over 5,000 registered voters across the United States. Along with 2020 presidential election data, Political Intelligence tracks the approval ratings for all governors, senators, House members, the President, and more at the national, state and congressional district level.

Each week, we will release a report with the most important findings on the 2020 election. Sign-up to receive that report in your inbox here.

Results from the most recent update

This page was last updated on June 17, 2019.

Our Democratic Primary results are reported using 17,226 interviews with registered voters who indicate they may vote in the Democratic primary or caucus in their state. For those who say don’t know or no opinion, they are asked to pick a candidate they are leaning towards. Results are reported among first choice and those who lean towards a candidate. The interviews were collected from June 10 – June 16, 2019 and have a margin of error of +/- 1%.

The “Early Primary State” demographic was based on surveys with 718 voters in Iowa, New Hampshire, South Carolina, or Nevada, and has a margin of error of +/-4%.

In the case of a tie, candidates are ordered alphabetically by last name.