By delegate math and polling, Ohio Gov. John Kasich is not the Republican Party’s first choice for president. But according to a new Morning Consult tracking survey, he is their second.
According to the national poll, Donald Trump holds a lead among Republicans and GOP-leaning independents surveyed by Morning Consult. He leads Texas Sen. Ted Cruz 48 percent to 27 percent, with Kasich trailing at 12 percent.
| ICS | 1/1/2020 | 2/1/2020 | 3/1/2020 | 4/1/2020 | 5/1/2020 | 6/1/2020 | 7/1/2020 | 8/1/2020 | 9/1/2020 | 10/1/2020 | 11/1/2020 | 12/1/2020 | 1/1/2021 | 2/1/2021 | 3/1/2021 | 4/1/2021 | 5/1/2021 | 6/1/2021 | 7/1/2021 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL | 125.4 | 125 | 128 | 111.6 | 97.3 | 99.2 | 98.3 | 98.7 | 103 | 104.5 | 93 | 92.4 | 90 | 93.8 | 94.7 | 98.7 | 99.3 | 97.9 | 93.5 |
| AK | 116.4 | 118.5 | 112.3 | 105.4 | 79.8 | 81.3 | 83.9 | 85.5 | 81.2 | 91.6 | 87 | 85.8 | 87.3 | 91.2 | 102.7 | 94.8 | 95.8 | 91.4 | 99 |
| AZ | 116.4 | 118.7 | 118.6 | 100.3 | 86.9 | 89.7 | 87.1 | 91.6 | 98 | 98.5 | 92 | 89.8 | 89.1 | 92.6 | 97.2 | 101.6 | 99.1 | 97.8 | 98 |
| AR | 118 | 117.1 | 118.2 | 100.8 | 89.9 | 92.2 | 91.4 | 91.8 | 95.2 | 97.4 | 91.2 | 85.9 | 86 | 85.1 | 92.2 | 95.8 | 91.6 | 88.4 | 88.6 |
| CA | 110.8 | 110.8 | 111.7 | 93.5 | 80.4 | 82.2 | 83.8 | 86 | 89.6 | 91.7 | 90 | 88.4 | 91.6 | 97.5 | 104.1 | 107.1 | 107.4 | 106.8 | 103.6 |
| CO | 108.4 | 110.7 | 112.3 | 93.4 | 78.6 | 82.4 | 83.5 | 85.4 | 90.2 | 90.6 | 87 | 86.2 | 88.7 | 90.9 | 99.2 | 100.4 | 101.6 | 100.4 | 100.6 |
| CT | 107.3 | 107.2 | 109.6 | 91.6 | 75.4 | 78.7 | 84.4 | 87.5 | 89.9 | 89.3 | 87.8 | 83.7 | 88.9 | 92.1 | 95.9 | 101.4 | 102.1 | 103.4 | 99.1 |
| DE | 115.9 | 115.4 | 115.9 | 97.6 | 82.2 | 86.4 | 89.3 | 91.1 | 91.2 | 96.5 | 91.2 | 87.9 | 93.2 | 96.1 | 99.2 | 103.2 | 101.3 | 102.2 | 100.5 |
| FL | 119.3 | 119.6 | 118.8 | 101 | 86.8 | 91.5 | 89.2 | 91.7 | 95.2 | 97 | 93.8 | 91.3 | 92.3 | 95.8 | 100.6 | 104.2 | 103.7 | 103.8 | 101.1 |
| GA | 123.5 | 124.2 | 126.1 | 108.9 | 94.9 | 95.6 | 95.8 | 99.1 | 101.9 | 104.6 | 99.4 | 94.3 | 94.4 | 95.2 | 102.5 | 105.1 | 102.9 | 103.1 | 100.4 |
| HI | 104.6 | 106.1 | 106.5 | 85 | 72.8 | 77.3 | 73.4 | 70.7 | 72.3 | 74.7 | 78.6 | 83.9 | 85 | 89.1 | 90.3 | 101 | 102 | 103 | 98.6 |
| ID | 118.4 | 119.4 | 124.5 | 106 | 88.1 | 95.3 | 94.9 | 94.4 | 98.6 | 96.8 | 91.2 | 88.7 | 87.1 | 90.5 | 86 | 93.2 | 89.7 | 88 | 88.4 |
| IL | 112 | 111.2 | 112.1 | 93.8 | 79.3 | 82.7 | 86 | 85.1 | 89.3 | 89.7 | 88.5 | 87.9 | 92 | 94.2 | 101.8 | 103.6 | 103.6 | 104 | 100 |
| IN | 118 | 119.7 | 120.1 | 102.4 | 85.9 | 89.5 | 88.3 | 91.9 | 94.2 | 94.2 | 86.5 | 86.6 | 85.8 | 88.4 | 96.2 | 94.6 | 97 | 95.8 | 92.1 |
| IA | 108.3 | 109.8 | 110.6 | 91.6 | 80.7 | 82.3 | 83.7 | 86.5 | 86.2 | 88.7 | 83.5 | 83 | 87 | 91.9 | 97.5 | 98.4 | 97.2 | 95.6 | 92.7 |
| KS | 116.1 | 115.7 | 113.5 | 93.8 | 81.3 | 81.9 | 86.9 | 88.2 | 90.5 | 94.9 | 85.5 | 85.9 | 85.3 | 85.4 | 91.4 | 94.9 | 95.6 | 95.6 | 89 |
| KY | 114.7 | 114.6 | 116.2 | 102 | 84.2 | 88.5 | 88.7 | 89.2 | 92.3 | 92.4 | 85.9 | 81.1 | 82.4 | 83.8 | 89.7 | 90.6 | 91.2 | 91.1 | 87.1 |
| LA | 119 | 121.8 | 125 | 110.6 | 93.1 | 97.3 | 92.9 | 95 | 100.1 | 97.4 | 92.8 | 89.7 | 86.1 | 89.1 | 94 | 94.5 | 98.5 | 97.6 | 93.7 |
| ME | 108.2 | 109.7 | 111.1 | 87.7 | 75.3 | 76.5 | 79.2 | 78.9 | 83.6 | 83.2 | 81.4 | 78.1 | 85.9 | 85.4 | 93.7 | 93.1 | 95.7 | 97.7 | 88.4 |
| MD | 113.2 | 112.8 | 113.8 | 94.6 | 79.2 | 83.4 | 84.9 | 88.4 | 90.8 | 91.9 | 90 | 90.4 | 92.8 | 96.9 | 103 | 107 | 104.4 | 107.1 | 101.3 |
| MA | 108.3 | 107.7 | 108 | 90.8 | 75.6 | 77.5 | 83.1 | 83.3 | 85.5 | 83.6 | 86.5 | 87.9 | 91.6 | 95.7 | 100.9 | 103.1 | 101.8 | 102.9 | 100.1 |
| MI | 111.7 | 113.4 | 114.6 | 95.9 | 80 | 81.1 | 85.1 | 87.5 | 90.9 | 91.9 | 86 | 85.2 | 86.9 | 91 | 97.6 | 98.6 | 98.2 | 98.9 | 96.3 |
| MN | 114.9 | 115.4 | 115.9 | 93.8 | 79.5 | 79.1 | 87.6 | 89.6 | 94.3 | 92.9 | 89.9 | 90.4 | 88.1 | 91.1 | 96.3 | 102 | 96.8 | 96.8 | 94.8 |
| MS | 121.6 | 122.4 | 123.6 | 107.1 | 93.8 | 93.5 | 92.7 | 93.3 | 97.6 | 96.1 | 90.2 | 89.1 | 89.4 | 91 | 95.4 | 98.9 | 92.7 | 94.5 | 92.8 |
| MO | 119 | 119.5 | 121 | 102.7 | 87.8 | 90.3 | 89.3 | 91.8 | 95.4 | 95.6 | 89.3 | 89 | 86 | 89.9 | 94.4 | 97.1 | 98.2 | 94.2 | 90.5 |
| MT | 119.4 | 117 | 115.7 | 101.8 | 84.6 | 92.8 | 86.6 | 86.4 | 91.9 | 97.9 | 83.8 | 80.6 | 74.4 | 77.8 | 90.4 | 85.8 | 85.8 | 82.5 | 85.3 |
| NE | 117.9 | 117.3 | 119.6 | 94.6 | 83.6 | 87.3 | 85.3 | 93 | 95.6 | 92.4 | 87.5 | 86.2 | 87.1 | 86.9 | 89.4 | 88.4 | 96.1 | 95.7 | 93.9 |
| NV | 121.8 | 119.9 | 121.3 | 97.5 | 85.4 | 85.9 | 87.6 | 90.2 | 92.1 | 91.3 | 89.1 | 84.5 | 88 | 89 | 95.2 | 99.3 | 96.2 | 96.6 | 93.7 |
| NH | 109.3 | 110.7 | 110.8 | 92.3 | 76.8 | 77.7 | 82.3 | 79.3 | 82.7 | 83.3 | 83.7 | 86.7 | 87.5 | 89.4 | 93.7 | 99.9 | 101.8 | 103.2 | 96.4 |
| NJ | 111.7 | 111.7 | 112.2 | 92.6 | 79.8 | 80.8 | 85.2 | 87.5 | 90.3 | 90.8 | 90.1 | 89.7 | 91.3 | 95.3 | 101.3 | 104.2 | 104.2 | 106.5 | 106.5 |
| NM | 112.9 | 111.3 | 114.6 | 101.5 | 85.8 | 87.2 | 83.5 | 87.4 | 86.9 | 87 | 84.9 | 81.5 | 87.2 | 89.9 | 98.8 | 97.1 | 107.5 | 98.5 | 97.8 |
| NY | 112.3 | 112.3 | 112.7 | 95.6 | 81.4 | 82.5 | 89.2 | 89.5 | 92 | 93 | 91.9 | 91.8 | 93.8 | 97.9 | 103.5 | 106.9 | 106.9 | 109.1 | 105.2 |
| NC | 118.5 | 119.6 | 121.2 | 100.4 | 88.8 | 91.4 | 91.5 | 93.3 | 95.4 | 97.6 | 93.1 | 90.4 | 90.6 | 94.2 | 100 | 101.1 | 101.2 | 99.6 | 97.3 |
| ND | 118.8 | 116.2 | 117.1 | 103.5 | 79.8 | 84.3 | 86.5 | 85.5 | 87.4 | 95.5 | 85.4 | 77.9 | 79.6 | 78.8 | 92.2 | 91.4 | 90.5 | 88.5 | 88 |
| OH | 114.9 | 115 | 116.5 | 98 | 82.1 | 85.8 | 86.2 | 87.9 | 93.3 | 94.5 | 88.9 | 87.3 | 89.4 | 90.4 | 96.1 | 98.3 | 97.1 | 97.7 | 96.1 |
| OK | 115.5 | 118.1 | 119.2 | 103.8 | 91.1 | 90.8 | 89.8 | 90.7 | 95.5 | 94 | 86.1 | 86.5 | 88.9 | 88.3 | 98.1 | 99.6 | 95.4 | 98.6 | 92.7 |
| OR | 107 | 109.3 | 107.9 | 89.6 | 77 | 76.7 | 78.3 | 81.7 | 83.1 | 85.2 | 86 | 80.4 | 82.1 | 86.5 | 94.8 | 95.5 | 95.2 | 94.8 | 94.2 |
| PA | 112.4 | 113.9 | 115.1 | 96.3 | 80.3 | 83.3 | 87.5 | 89.6 | 91.4 | 93.2 | 86.6 | 83 | 84.9 | 88.4 | 93.2 | 97.6 | 96.6 | 95.3 | 92.6 |
| RI | 109.7 | 110.5 | 109.9 | 88.8 | 79 | 80.6 | 82.5 | 89.4 | 89.9 | 89.7 | 80.9 | 87.1 | 87.7 | 92.8 | 93.6 | 105.2 | 101.6 | 96.7 | 99.9 |
| SC | 120.6 | 121.7 | 123.7 | 106.1 | 90.4 | 92.9 | 90.8 | 95.2 | 98 | 98.6 | 94.3 | 90.5 | 89.6 | 90.2 | 97 | 99.9 | 102.1 | 99.9 | 95.4 |
| SD | 109.5 | 111.8 | 114.7 | 98.9 | 81.8 | 86.1 | 94.4 | 95 | 91.7 | 86.4 | 79.8 | 88.4 | 78.2 | 83.8 | 89.1 | 90.9 | 85.2 | 88.2 | 85.6 |
| TN | 121.2 | 122.3 | 123.3 | 104.1 | 92 | 92.7 | 90.2 | 94.5 | 96.3 | 97.3 | 90.4 | 89 | 86.4 | 88.4 | 94 | 97.9 | 96.6 | 95.9 | 93.9 |
| TX | 119.7 | 120.8 | 120.7 | 104.3 | 87.5 | 90.8 | 91.2 | 93.6 | 96.4 | 99.3 | 92.7 | 91.5 | 92.9 | 95 | 101.5 | 104.6 | 102.6 | 100.9 | 98.8 |
| UT | 123.1 | 122.5 | 123 | 103.2 | 89 | 93.8 | 88 | 89.1 | 95.7 | 95.5 | 89.1 | 90 | 90.5 | 91.6 | 103.3 | 100.6 | 93.9 | 92.8 | 92.6 |
| VT | 99.3 | 99.9 | 95.7 | 84 | 69.6 | 74.9 | 75.1 | 79.6 | 75.3 | 76.7 | 75.6 | 80.2 | 84.9 | 86.3 | 95.6 | 103.2 | 101.7 | 102.6 | 99.3 |
| VA | 117.1 | 118.3 | 118.8 | 103.4 | 86.2 | 89.8 | 91 | 90 | 94.1 | 94.4 | 92.2 | 88.7 | 90.8 | 94.9 | 99.8 | 99.6 | 100.5 | 101.6 | 98.8 |
| WA | 110.1 | 109.7 | 107.6 | 90.7 | 79.9 | 83.5 | 82.5 | 84.2 | 85.2 | 86.4 | 84.7 | 80.4 | 87.8 | 92.1 | 97.2 | 99.4 | 101.1 | 100.3 | 99 |
| WV | 109.6 | 108.6 | 111.8 | 99.5 | 85.8 | 87.1 | 83.7 | 86 | 91.1 | 90.9 | 83.9 | 75.1 | 70.5 | 73.9 | 81.1 | 77.8 | 81.5 | 83.9 | 82.8 |
| WI | 110.1 | 111.8 | 112.8 | 89.2 | 78.6 | 80.6 | 85.1 | 83.7 | 88.6 | 90 | 87.5 | 85.9 | 87.3 | 89 | 97.5 | 99.3 | 97.9 | 98 | 99 |
| WY | 122.2 | 117.2 | 124 | 103.6 | 91.1 | 91.5 | 91.6 | 88.6 | 100.3 | 93.3 | 92.5 | 78 | 88.5 | 88.7 | 95 | 93.9 | 86.4 | 99.4 | 77.7 |
But when asked who their second choice would be, Kasich led Cruz 29 percent to 24 percent, with another 19 percent saying they would prefer someone else. That is up from earlier this month, when the spread was 27 percent to 26 percent.
Just as she has grown her delegate count in recent weeks, Hillary Clinton has also grown her lead over her Democratic primary rival, Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders. The survey found 49 percent of Democratic primary voters support the former Secretary of State, compared to 40 percent who said they would vote for Sanders if the election was held today.
| ICS | "Jan-2020" | "Feb-2020" | "Mar-2020" | "Apri-2020" | "May-2020" | "Jun-2020" | "Jul-2020" | "Aug-2020" | "Sep-2020" | "Oct-2020 | "Nov-2020" | "Dec-2020" | "Jan-2020" | "Feb-2021" | "Mar-2021" | "Apr-2021" | "May-2021" | "Jun-2021" | "Jul-2021" | "Aug-2021" |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| AL | 125.4 | 125 | 128 | 111.6 | 97.3 | 99.2 | 98.3 | 98.7 | 103 | 104.5 | 93 | 92.4 | 90 | 93.8 | 94.7 | 98.7 | 99.3 | 97.9 | 93.5 | 89.9 |
| AK | 116.4 | 118.5 | 112.3 | 105.4 | 79.8 | 81.3 | 83.9 | 85.5 | 81.2 | 91.6 | 87 | 85.8 | 87.3 | 91.2 | 102.7 | 94.8 | 95.8 | 91.4 | 99 | 82.7 |
| AZ | 116.4 | 118.7 | 118.6 | 100.3 | 86.9 | 89.7 | 87.1 | 91.6 | 98 | 98.5 | 92 | 89.8 | 89.1 | 92.6 | 97.2 | 101.6 | 99.1 | 97.8 | 98 | 90 |
| AR | 118 | 117.1 | 118.2 | 100.8 | 89.9 | 92.2 | 91.4 | 91.8 | 95.2 | 97.4 | 91.2 | 85.9 | 86 | 85.1 | 92.2 | 95.8 | 91.6 | 88.4 | 88.6 | 84.4 |
| CA | 110.8 | 110.8 | 111.7 | 93.5 | 80.4 | 82.2 | 83.8 | 86 | 89.6 | 91.7 | 90 | 88.4 | 91.6 | 97.5 | 104.1 | 107.1 | 107.4 | 106.8 | 103.6 | 100.3 |
| CO | 108.4 | 110.7 | 112.3 | 93.4 | 78.6 | 82.4 | 83.5 | 85.4 | 90.2 | 90.6 | 87 | 86.2 | 88.7 | 90.9 | 99.2 | 100.4 | 101.6 | 100.4 | 100.6 | 95.1 |
| CT | 107.3 | 107.2 | 109.6 | 91.6 | 75.4 | 78.7 | 84.4 | 87.5 | 89.9 | 89.3 | 87.8 | 83.7 | 88.9 | 92.1 | 95.9 | 101.4 | 102.1 | 103.4 | 99.1 | 92.4 |
| DE | 115.9 | 115.4 | 115.9 | 97.6 | 82.2 | 86.4 | 89.3 | 91.1 | 91.2 | 96.5 | 91.2 | 87.9 | 93.2 | 96.1 | 99.2 | 103.2 | 101.3 | 102.2 | 100.5 | 86 |
| FL | 119.3 | 119.6 | 118.8 | 101 | 86.8 | 91.5 | 89.2 | 91.7 | 95.2 | 97 | 93.8 | 91.3 | 92.3 | 95.8 | 100.6 | 104.2 | 103.7 | 103.8 | 101.1 | 97.4 |
| GA | 123.5 | 124.2 | 126.1 | 108.9 | 94.9 | 95.6 | 95.8 | 99.1 | 101.9 | 104.6 | 99.4 | 94.3 | 94.4 | 95.2 | 102.5 | 105.1 | 102.9 | 103.1 | 100.4 | 95.7 |
| HI | 104.6 | 106.1 | 106.5 | 85 | 72.8 | 77.3 | 73.4 | 70.7 | 72.3 | 74.7 | 78.6 | 83.9 | 85 | 89.1 | 90.3 | 101 | 102 | 103 | 98.6 | 92.1 |
| ID | 118.4 | 119.4 | 124.5 | 106 | 88.1 | 95.3 | 94.9 | 94.4 | 98.6 | 96.8 | 91.2 | 88.7 | 87.1 | 90.5 | 86 | 93.2 | 89.7 | 88 | 88.4 | 81.7 |
| IL | 112 | 111.2 | 112.1 | 93.8 | 79.3 | 82.7 | 86 | 85.1 | 89.3 | 89.7 | 88.5 | 87.9 | 92 | 94.2 | 101.8 | 103.6 | 103.6 | 104 | 100 | 95.7 |
| IN | 118 | 119.7 | 120.1 | 102.4 | 85.9 | 89.5 | 88.3 | 91.9 | 94.2 | 94.2 | 86.5 | 86.6 | 85.8 | 88.4 | 96.2 | 94.6 | 97 | 95.8 | 92.1 | 89.3 |
| IA | 108.3 | 109.8 | 110.6 | 91.6 | 80.7 | 82.3 | 83.7 | 86.5 | 86.2 | 88.7 | 83.5 | 83 | 87 | 91.9 | 97.5 | 98.4 | 97.2 | 95.6 | 92.7 | 88.3 |
| KS | 116.1 | 115.7 | 113.5 | 93.8 | 81.3 | 81.9 | 86.9 | 88.2 | 90.5 | 94.9 | 85.5 | 85.9 | 85.3 | 85.4 | 91.4 | 94.9 | 95.6 | 95.6 | 89 | 85.8 |
| KY | 114.7 | 114.6 | 116.2 | 102 | 84.2 | 88.5 | 88.7 | 89.2 | 92.3 | 92.4 | 85.9 | 81.1 | 82.4 | 83.8 | 89.7 | 90.6 | 91.2 | 91.1 | 87.1 | 81.9 |
| LA | 119 | 121.8 | 125 | 110.6 | 93.1 | 97.3 | 92.9 | 95 | 100.1 | 97.4 | 92.8 | 89.7 | 86.1 | 89.1 | 94 | 94.5 | 98.5 | 97.6 | 93.7 | 89.7 |
| ME | 108.2 | 109.7 | 111.1 | 87.7 | 75.3 | 76.5 | 79.2 | 78.9 | 83.6 | 83.2 | 81.4 | 78.1 | 85.9 | 85.4 | 93.7 | 93.1 | 95.7 | 97.7 | 88.4 | 86.3 |
| MD | 113.2 | 112.8 | 113.8 | 94.6 | 79.2 | 83.4 | 84.9 | 88.4 | 90.8 | 91.9 | 90 | 90.4 | 92.8 | 96.9 | 103 | 107 | 104.4 | 107.1 | 101.3 | 101.2 |
| MA | 108.3 | 107.7 | 108 | 90.8 | 75.6 | 77.5 | 83.1 | 83.3 | 85.5 | 83.6 | 86.5 | 87.9 | 91.6 | 95.7 | 100.9 | 103.1 | 101.8 | 102.9 | 100.1 | 95.3 |
| MI | 111.7 | 113.4 | 114.6 | 95.9 | 80 | 81.1 | 85.1 | 87.5 | 90.9 | 91.9 | 86 | 85.2 | 86.9 | 91 | 97.6 | 98.6 | 98.2 | 98.9 | 96.3 | 92 |
| MN | 114.9 | 115.4 | 115.9 | 93.8 | 79.5 | 79.1 | 87.6 | 89.6 | 94.3 | 92.9 | 89.9 | 90.4 | 88.1 | 91.1 | 96.3 | 102 | 96.8 | 96.8 | 94.8 | 90.1 |
| MS | 121.6 | 122.4 | 123.6 | 107.1 | 93.8 | 93.5 | 92.7 | 93.3 | 97.6 | 96.1 | 90.2 | 89.1 | 89.4 | 91 | 95.4 | 98.9 | 92.7 | 94.5 | 92.8 | 85 |
| MO | 119 | 119.5 | 121 | 102.7 | 87.8 | 90.3 | 89.3 | 91.8 | 95.4 | 95.6 | 89.3 | 89 | 86 | 89.9 | 94.4 | 97.1 | 98.2 | 94.2 | 90.5 | 87.3 |
| MT | 119.4 | 117 | 115.7 | 101.8 | 84.6 | 92.8 | 86.6 | 86.4 | 91.9 | 97.9 | 83.8 | 80.6 | 74.4 | 77.8 | 90.4 | 85.8 | 85.8 | 82.5 | 85.3 | 76.3 |
| NE | 117.9 | 117.3 | 119.6 | 94.6 | 83.6 | 87.3 | 85.3 | 93 | 95.6 | 92.4 | 87.5 | 86.2 | 87.1 | 86.9 | 89.4 | 88.4 | 96.1 | 95.7 | 93.9 | 87.8 |
| NV | 121.8 | 119.9 | 121.3 | 97.5 | 85.4 | 85.9 | 87.6 | 90.2 | 92.1 | 91.3 | 89.1 | 84.5 | 88 | 89 | 95.2 | 99.3 | 96.2 | 96.6 | 93.7 | 88.3 |
| NH | 109.3 | 110.7 | 110.8 | 92.3 | 76.8 | 77.7 | 82.3 | 79.3 | 82.7 | 83.3 | 83.7 | 86.7 | 87.5 | 89.4 | 93.7 | 99.9 | 101.8 | 103.2 | 96.4 | 95.5 |
| NJ | 111.7 | 111.7 | 112.2 | 92.6 | 79.8 | 80.8 | 85.2 | 87.5 | 90.3 | 90.8 | 90.1 | 89.7 | 91.3 | 95.3 | 101.3 | 104.2 | 104.2 | 106.5 | 106.5 | 102 |
| NM | 112.9 | 111.3 | 114.6 | 101.5 | 85.8 | 87.2 | 83.5 | 87.4 | 86.9 | 87 | 84.9 | 81.5 | 87.2 | 89.9 | 98.8 | 97.1 | 107.5 | 98.5 | 97.8 | 92.8 |
| NY | 112.3 | 112.3 | 112.7 | 95.6 | 81.4 | 82.5 | 89.2 | 89.5 | 92 | 93 | 91.9 | 91.8 | 93.8 | 97.9 | 103.5 | 106.9 | 106.9 | 109.1 | 105.2 | 100.2 |
| NC | 118.5 | 119.6 | 121.2 | 100.4 | 88.8 | 91.4 | 91.5 | 93.3 | 95.4 | 97.6 | 93.1 | 90.4 | 90.6 | 94.2 | 100 | 101.1 | 101.2 | 99.6 | 97.3 | 91.6 |
| ND | 118.8 | 116.2 | 117.1 | 103.5 | 79.8 | 84.3 | 86.5 | 85.5 | 87.4 | 95.5 | 85.4 | 77.9 | 79.6 | 78.8 | 92.2 | 91.4 | 90.5 | 88.5 | 88 | 81.3 |
| OH | 114.9 | 115 | 116.5 | 98 | 82.1 | 85.8 | 86.2 | 87.9 | 93.3 | 94.5 | 88.9 | 87.3 | 89.4 | 90.4 | 96.1 | 98.3 | 97.1 | 97.7 | 96.1 | 92.4 |
| OK | 115.5 | 118.1 | 119.2 | 103.8 | 91.1 | 90.8 | 89.8 | 90.7 | 95.5 | 94 | 86.1 | 86.5 | 88.9 | 88.3 | 98.1 | 99.6 | 95.4 | 98.6 | 92.7 | 87 |
| OR | 107 | 109.3 | 107.9 | 89.6 | 77 | 76.7 | 78.3 | 81.7 | 83.1 | 85.2 | 86 | 80.4 | 82.1 | 86.5 | 94.8 | 95.5 | 95.2 | 94.8 | 94.2 | 90.4 |
| PA | 112.4 | 113.9 | 115.1 | 96.3 | 80.3 | 83.3 | 87.5 | 89.6 | 91.4 | 93.2 | 86.6 | 83 | 84.9 | 88.4 | 93.2 | 97.6 | 96.6 | 95.3 | 92.6 | 87.7 |
| RI | 109.7 | 110.5 | 109.9 | 88.8 | 79 | 80.6 | 82.5 | 89.4 | 89.9 | 89.7 | 80.9 | 87.1 | 87.7 | 92.8 | 93.6 | 105.2 | 101.6 | 96.7 | 99.9 | 93.1 |
| SC | 120.6 | 121.7 | 123.7 | 106.1 | 90.4 | 92.9 | 90.8 | 95.2 | 98 | 98.6 | 94.3 | 90.5 | 89.6 | 90.2 | 97 | 99.9 | 102.1 | 99.9 | 95.4 | 91.8 |
| SD | 109.5 | 111.8 | 114.7 | 98.9 | 81.8 | 86.1 | 94.4 | 95 | 91.7 | 86.4 | 79.8 | 88.4 | 78.2 | 83.8 | 89.1 | 90.9 | 85.2 | 88.2 | 85.6 | 78.9 |
| TN | 121.2 | 122.3 | 123.3 | 104.1 | 92 | 92.7 | 90.2 | 94.5 | 96.3 | 97.3 | 90.4 | 89 | 86.4 | 88.4 | 94 | 97.9 | 96.6 | 95.9 | 93.9 | 90 |
| TX | 119.7 | 120.8 | 120.7 | 104.3 | 87.5 | 90.8 | 91.2 | 93.6 | 96.4 | 99.3 | 92.7 | 91.5 | 92.9 | 95 | 101.5 | 104.6 | 102.6 | 100.9 | 98.8 | 96.7 |
| UT | 123.1 | 122.5 | 123 | 103.2 | 89 | 93.8 | 88 | 89.1 | 95.7 | 95.5 | 89.1 | 90 | 90.5 | 91.6 | 103.3 | 100.6 | 93.9 | 92.8 | 92.6 | 90 |
| VT | 99.3 | 99.9 | 95.7 | 84 | 69.6 | 74.9 | 75.1 | 79.6 | 75.3 | 76.7 | 75.6 | 80.2 | 84.9 | 86.3 | 95.6 | 103.2 | 101.7 | 102.6 | 99.3 | 99.7 |
| VA | 117.1 | 118.3 | 118.8 | 103.4 | 86.2 | 89.8 | 91 | 90 | 94.1 | 94.4 | 92.2 | 88.7 | 90.8 | 94.9 | 99.8 | 99.6 | 100.5 | 101.6 | 98.8 | 95.5 |
| WA | 110.1 | 109.7 | 107.6 | 90.7 | 79.9 | 83.5 | 82.5 | 84.2 | 85.2 | 86.4 | 84.7 | 80.4 | 87.8 | 92.1 | 97.2 | 99.4 | 101.1 | 100.3 | 99 | 93.1 |
| WV | 109.6 | 108.6 | 111.8 | 99.5 | 85.8 | 87.1 | 83.7 | 86 | 91.1 | 90.9 | 83.9 | 75.1 | 70.5 | 73.9 | 81.1 | 77.8 | 81.5 | 83.9 | 82.8 | 79 |
| WI | 110.1 | 111.8 | 112.8 | 89.2 | 78.6 | 80.6 | 85.1 | 83.7 | 88.6 | 90 | 87.5 | 85.9 | 87.3 | 89 | 97.5 | 99.3 | 97.9 | 98 | 99 | 93.3 |
| WY | 122.2 | 117.2 | 124 | 103.6 | 91.1 | 91.5 | 91.6 | 88.6 | 100.3 | 93.3 | 92.5 | 78 | 88.5 | 88.7 | 95 | 93.9 | 86.4 | 99.4 | 77.7 | 82.3 |
Ahead of the New York primary, that spread was 46 percent to 43 percent – the closest Sanders has been to the Democratic front-runner.
Regardless, if the 2016 presidential election were held today, both Clinton and Sanders would lead each of the three candidates, though Sanders’ lead would be stronger. In head-to-head matchups, Clinton beats Cruz by 11 points and Trump by 7 points. Kasich performs better against the former secretary of State, but still loses by 4 points. Sanders boasts a 21-point lead over Cruz, a 16-point lead over Trump and an 18-point lead over Kasich.
The Morning Consult survey polled 1,964 registered voters from April 26-29, with a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. See the toplines and crosstabs.
