Finance
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Essential financial news & intel to start your day.
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March 14, 2023
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Tax Day Is Five Weeks Away. For Most Adults, Filing Is a Roll of the Dice
It’s tax season, which is a bit of a financial gamble for many Americans: A new Morning Consult survey finds that only about 1 in 5 U.S. adults say they know both whether they will receive a refund or owe taxes and how much the respective check or bill will be.
The Internal Revenue Service, now packing $80 billion in new funding, has a long way to go to improve its communication and relationship with taxpayers. For instance, Morning Consult found that just 1 in 4 adults had seen, read or heard at least something about the IRS’s Free File option, and among those specifically in households making $73,000 or less (those who Free File is meant to benefit,) 76% said they had heard little or nothing at all.
Read more: Most Americans Don’t Know What to Expect During Tax Season
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Today’s Top News
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Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Michael Barr will lead a “thorough, transparent and swift review” of the agency’s oversight of Silicon Valley Bank in light of the bank’s collapse last week, with findings set to be released to the public on May 1. Sen. Bill Hagerty (R-Tenn.) said in an interview that the San Francisco Fed “had all the tools necessary to prevent this from happening,” while a spokesperson for the regional Fed bank did not respond to a request for comment. (Reuters)
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The Federal Home Loan Bank System has raised $88.7 billion in a sale of short-term notes, far more than the $64 billion previously planned, according to people with knowledge of the matter. The larger sale could indicate that the FHLB sees a possibility that more banks could need to tap into the system’s liquidity in the coming days as the banking industry navigates the continuing threat of bank runs amid the SVB fallout. (Bloomberg)
- President Joe Biden addressed concerns about the broader banking system, saying Americans “can rest assured that our banking system is safe” and “your deposits are safe,” adding that unlike depositors, failed banks’ investors will “not be protected” as they knowingly took on risk. (CNN) Prior to the administration announcing the bank bailout over the weekend, the president reportedly had concerns about the plan on the grounds that the federal government had been too generous to big banks during the 2008 financial crisis, and officials — including Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen, National Economic Council Director Lael Brainard and Jeff Zients, Biden’s chief of staff — worked to craft a rescue plan that focused on depositors and tried to avoid the “bailout” descriptor. (The Washington Post)
- As news of the failures of SVB and Signature Bank spread, customers began to take their deposits out of regional banks, and according to people with knowledge of the matter, the “too big to fail” banks — including Bank of America Corp., Citigroup Inc., Wells Fargo & Co. and JPMorgan Chase & Co. — are seeing higher-than-usual volumes in deposits, with JPMorgan specifically seeing billions in deposits in recent days. (Bloomberg) Regional bank stocks suffered substantial trading losses yesterday as investors fretted over the flight of deposits, though Jim Herbert, executive chair of First Republic Bank, which was down more than 60%, told CNBC that the bank has not seen many depositors leave and that it has met demands for withdrawals. (MarketWatch)
Worth watching:
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Fed Governor Michelle Bowman will give remarks at the Independent Community Bankers Association’s conference in Honolulu.
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A MESSAGE FROM MORNING CONSULT |
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What Else You Need to Know
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Economic and Fiscal Policy
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Financial tremors now muddying Fed inflation debate
Howard Schneider, Reuters
U.S. Federal Reserve officials meet next week again chasing persistent inflation but now balancing that against the first acute tremors from the aggressive interest rate hikes the central bank approved over the past year.
How bank failures may upend the Fed’s war on inflation
Victoria Guida, Politico
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell suddenly has a major new concern to weigh in his year-long battle against inflation: a string of bank failures.
US expected to report strong consumer price increases in February
Lucia Mutikani, Reuters
U.S. consumer prices likely rose at a solid pace in February amid sticky rental housing costs, but economists are divided on whether the data will be enough to push the Federal Reserve to hike interest rates again next week after the failure of two regional banks.
Near-Term US Inflation Expectations Drop Sharply, NY Fed Survey Finds
Jonnelle Marte, Bloomberg
US consumers see inflation dropping sharply over the next year, and they expect the cost of food, gas and other essentials to rise more slowly, according to a survey by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
US capitalism is ‘breaking down before our eyes’, says Ken Griffin
Harriet Agnew et al., Financial Times
Citadel founder argues that refusing to bail out SVB depositors in full would be ‘great lesson in moral hazard’
Lawmakers target child labor laws to ease worker shortage
Jacob Knutson, Axios
Legislators in multiple states are invoking a widespread labor shortage to push bills that would weaken long-standing child labor laws.
Economic security for women “more fragile” than realized
Hope King, Axios
Many measures of economic progress for women are pointing in the right direction, but the pandemic has put the vitality of that progress under strain.
Supreme Court case features twist on appropriations power
Michael Macagnone, The Hill
Congress has used a clause in the Constitution for more than two centuries to control how the federal government spends funds, but the Supreme Court is poised to decide whether that same language also limits what lawmakers can do.
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FDIC Planning Another Silicon Valley Bank Auction
Andrew Ackerman, The Wall Street Journal
Regulators are planning to take another crack at auctioning failed Silicon Valley Bank, according to people familiar with the matter, after they were unable to find a buyer for the firm over the weekend.
Private Equity Giant Talks to VC Firms About SVB Bid
Erin Woo and Amir Efrati, The Information
A large private equity firm has been talking to General Catalyst, Redpoint Ventures, Upfront Ventures and other venture capitalists as the PE firm considers bidding for part of the bank, according to four people with knowledge of the discussions.
Credit Suisse Finds Material Weaknesses in Financial Reporting
Margot Patrick, The Wall Street Journal
Credit Suisse Group said it found material weaknesses in its financial reporting over the past two years because of ineffective internal controls.
Silicon Valley Bank’s U.K. arm to be acquired by HSBC for just over $1
Annabelle Timsit, The Washington Post
HSBC has agreed to buy Silicon Valley Bank’s subsidiary in the United Kingdom for 1 pound — just over $1 — under a deal facilitated by the British government and the Bank of England following the U.S. lender’s collapse.
Market-watchers keep close eye on First Republic as banking fallout continues
Julia Mueller, The Hill
Attention has turned to San Francisco-based First Republic Bank after its shares fell starkly Monday in the wake of Silicon Valley Bank’s shutdown, which marked the largest U.S. bank collapse since the 2008 financial crisis.
Top economist Mohamed El-Erian says unlimited deposit guarantee will be hard to reverse after SVB fallout: ‘We are now in a different world’
Prarthana Prakash, Fortune
“Did we need to do all this? I think given the urgency over the weekend and the fact that there was no perfect policy response, we had to make some compromises,” El-Erian said about the federal government’s intervention.
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Financial Products and Investments
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CFPB and DOJ: Lenders are liable for appraisal discrimination
Chris Clow, Housing Wire
The Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB) and the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ) announced Monday that they filed a statement of interest to “explain the application of the Fair Housing Act (FHA) and the Equal Credit Opportunity Act (ECOA) to lenders relying on discriminatory home appraisals.”
Homeowners who held onto a 3% mortgage rate are becoming ‘accidental landlords’
Alena Botros, Fortune
The era of lower-than-ever mortgage rates is long gone, and it’s been replaced with rates hovering around 7%. But homeowners who locked in lower rates before or during the Pandemic Housing Boom aren’t selling. In fact, some of them are becoming “accidental landlords,” simply because they don’t want to lose their low rates of the past.
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Crypto and Financial Technology
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Justice Department Probes Collapse of Do Kwon’s TerraUSD Stablecoin
Alexander Osipovich, The Wall Street Journal
The Justice Department is investigating last year’s collapse of the TerraUSD stablecoin, adding the risk of U.S. criminal charges to the pressure on its creator, South Korean crypto entrepreneur Do Kwon, people familiar with the matter said.
CFTC Names Executives From Circle, TRM, Fireblocks Among Others to New Tech Advisory Group
Nikhilesh De, CoinDesk
The committee will be chaired by former White House official Carole House.
Santander, HSBC, Deutsche and Others Still Willing to Serve Crypto Clients After Banking Failures, DCG Says
Lavender Au, CoinDesk
Major banks are still willing to work with crypto firms, though they may restrict services, according to messages from DCG viewed by CoinDesk.
Stablecoin USDC Sees Redemptions Even as Crypto Market Rebounds
Olga Kharif, Bloomberg
Crypto market participants redeemed nearly $1.74 billion of the stablecoin USD Coin on Monday, according data compiled by researcher Nansen.
BlockTower Capital Funds Had Exposure to Silvergate, Signature Bank
Brandy Betz, CoinDesk
Four private funds of crypto asset manager BlockTower Capital used now-shuttered Signature Bank, Silvergate Bank – and in one case, both – as custodians for the assets, according to the most recent regulatory filing required for investment advisers. The funds added up to about $940 million in gross asset value.
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Opinions, Editorials and Perspectives
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