Morning Consult Global: Xi to Visit Russia Next Week Amid Intense Fighting in Bakhmut




 


Global

Essential news & intel on how business, politics and economics intersect around the world to start your day.
March 13, 2023
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Nigeria’s Contested Election Highlights Overwhelming Desire to Emigrate

Nearly 3 in 5 Nigerians under the age of 25 would not want to raise young children in their country, the highest figure among 16 nations surveyed by Morning Consult. Experts say the recent election was a disappointment that is only fueling “japa” — the colloquial Yoruba term for mass emigration. Read more about why young Nigerians see such a bleak future in my latest: Nigerian Emigration Challenges Underscored by Contested Election

 

Today’s Top News

  • Chinese President Xi Jinping will reportedly visit Russia as soon as next week in a major show of support days after officially entering his third five-year term in office and amid intense fighting in Bakhmut. (Reuters) Xi opened his term with a bellicose speech promising to “build the People’s Liberation Army into a great wall of steel” and describing the annexation of Taiwan as the “essence” of the “great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation.” (CNN)
  • U.S. President Joe Biden is set to announce a major agreement to develop nuclear-powered submarine fleets alongside Australia and the United Kingdom as part of the AUKUS alliance meant to counter China in the Pacific. The deal will be structured such that Australia first buys submarines from the United States, then the United Kingdom, before finally developing their own. (The New York Times)
  • Protest organizers estimate that approximately 5% of Israelis marched this weekend against Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s controversial overhaul of the judicial system, which opponents say will essentially make Israel a dictatorship. Israeli President Isaac Herzog, whose role is largely ceremonial, urged Netanyahu to withdraw the legislation. (CNN)

 

Happening today:

 

 

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What Else You Need To Know

Multilateral
 

China’s Xi wants bigger global role after Saudi-Iran deal 

Joe McDonald, The Associated Press

President Xi Jinping called Monday for China to play a bigger role in managing global affairs after Beijing scored a diplomatic coup as the host of talks that produced an agreement by Saudi Arabia and Iran to reopen diplomatic relations.

 

With China in mind, G-7 to call for groupwide supply chains

Rieko Miki, Nikkei Asia 

Economic security to be major topic at Hiroshima summit in May.

 

Ukraine is world’s third largest arms importer: SIPRI

Al Jazeera 

Fuelled by Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, countries in Europe are also increasing their arms imports, the think tank says.

 

UN chief: ‘Cold, hard facts’ should guide climate policy

The Associated Press 

The head of the United Nations called Monday for scientists to serve up “cold, hard facts” to push governments into making policies that curb climate change before a key global warming threshold is passed.

 
Asia-Pacific
 

Exclusive: Seoul mayor calls for South Korean nuclear weapons to counter threat from North

Hyonhee Shin, Reuters 

South Korea should build nuclear weapons to bolster its defences against North Korea, even at the risk of international repercussions, the mayor of its capital city said, arguing that the country cannot be bound by the goal of denuclearisation.

 

U.S. arms left in Afghanistan surface in Pakistan Taliban insurgency

Zia Ur Rehman, Nikkei Asia 

Advanced sniper rifles and night vision goggles used in attacks on police.

 

North Korea Launches Cruise Missiles From Submarine

Choe Sang-hun, The New York Times 

The missile test, the first of its kind carried out by the North, took place as South Korea and the United States were about to begin joint military exercises.

 

Japan GDP suffers steepest decline in 5 months, 0.6%, JCER says 

Nikkei Asia 

2nd straight monthly contraction led by weak corporate investments and exports.

 

China set to tighten grip over global cobalt supply as price hits 32-month low

Harry Dempsey and Leslie Hook, Financial Times 

Share of global output expected to reach 50% over next two years.

 
Europe
 

France pushes protectionism in Ukraine defense plan 

Suzanne Lynch et al., Politico

The European Parliament is divided on whether access to half a billion euros for arms production should be limited to the EU.

 

French Senate approves Macron’s pension plan amid new protests

Al Jazeera 

French unions call for an additional day of nationwide strikes and protests as Senate vote brings pension plan closer to becoming law.

 

AUKUS deal: UK announces over $6 billion in major defense spending

Kathleen Magramo and Hilary Whiteman, CNN 

The United Kingdom will ramp up defense spending by $6 billion to “fortify” against growing threats from Russia and China, the country’s leader announced on the eve of highly anticipated talks with AUKUS partners, the United States and Australia.

 

Russian wives and mothers call on Putin to stop sending mobilized men ‘to the slaughter’

Josh Pennington and Heather Chen, CNN 

A group of Russian wives and mothers have called on President Vladimir Putin to stop sending their husbands and sons “to the slaughter” by forcing them to join assault groups without adequate training or supplies.

 

Russia’s economy holds up, but growing challenges test Putin

David McHugh, The Associated Press 

Western sanctions have hit Russian banks, wealthy individuals and technology imports. But after a year of far-reaching restrictions aimed at degrading Moscow’s war chest, economic life for ordinary Russians doesn’t look all that different than it did before the invasion of Ukraine.

 

War in Ukraine Puts Centuries of Swiss Neutrality to the Test

Erika Solomon, The New York Times 

The Alpine state makes arms that Western allies want to send to Kyiv. Swiss law bans this, driving a national debate about whether its concept of neutrality should change.

 
Latin America
 

US turns up heat on Mexico after cartel kidnappings

Christine Murray and Stefania Palma, Financial Times 

Deaths of US citizens and steeply rising fentanyl casualties prompt rising frustration in Washington

 

Chile’s president shakes up Cabinet, replaces five ministers 

Eva Vergara, The Associated Press 

President Gabriel Boric shook up his Cabinet on Friday, replacing five of his 24 ministers on the eve of beginning his second year in power, announcing the change two days after Chile’s lawmakers rejected a proposed tax overhaul for financing most of his government program.

 
Middle East and Africa
 

At least 19 people killed in Congo by suspected extremists

Jean-Yves Kamale, The Associated Press 

Rebels in eastern Congo killed at least 19 people and set fire to a health center and houses, authorities reported Sunday.

 

After Iran and Saudi Reinstate Ties, Iran Falsely Claims Imminent US Prisoner Swap

Emily Tamkin, Foreign Policy 

The news comes days after Iran and Saudi Arabia announced they were reinstating ties with China’s help.

 

China Plans New Middle East Summit as Diplomatic Role Takes Shape

Summer Said et al., The Wall Street Journal 

Beijing’s involvement in the details of dispute between Saudi Arabia and Iran led to a re-establishment of ties.

 

Yemen’s warring sides hold prisoner exchange talks in Geneva

Al Jazeera 

The Yemen talks began a day after Iran and Saudi Arabia announced a deal to re-establish diplomatic ties.

 

Iran: Death of rare Asiatic cheetah cub highlights country’s environmental woes

Kourosh Ziabari, Middle East Eye 

Pirouz’s death provoked an outpouring of grief and anger at a government many accused of being neglectful.

 

Vice President Harris to visit Africa in latest US outreach

Chris Megerian, The Associated Press 

Vice President Kamala Harris will spend a week in Africa at the end of March as the United States deepens its outreach to the continent amid global competition, notably with China.

 

‘Russia Outside Russia’: For Elite, Dubai Becomes a Wartime Harbor

Anton Troianovski, The New York Times 

In the exclusive neighborhoods and palatial shopping malls of the United Arab Emirates’ biggest city, wealthy Russians can build a new life without having to cut ties to their home country.

 

 
North America
 

Biden to protect 16 million acres from drilling as oil project approval nears

Rebecca Falconer and Andrew Freedman, Axios 

The Biden administration is moving to protect some 16 million acres of land and water in Alaska from future oil and gas drilling, according to plans the Interior Department announced Sunday.

 







Morning Consult