Morning Consult Washington: New Evidence Said To Suggest Possible Trump Obstruction in Mar-a-Lago Case




 


Washington

Essential U.S. political news & intel to start your day.
April 3, 2023
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The Initial Political Implications of Trump’s Indictment

Former President Donald Trump’s indictment on fraud charges related to his role in an alleged scheme to pay hush money to adult film star Stormy Daniels is popular with a slim majority of voters, but the initial news has not shaken the vast majority of Republicans who believe he should run for president. Read more from me here: Slim Majority of Voters Approve of Trump’s Indictment, Though Few GOP Primary Voters Do.

 

Today’s Top News

  • Special counsel Jack Smith’s investigation into Trump’s handling of classified materials found at his Mar-a-Lago home is said to have uncovered new evidence pointing to possible obstruction by the former president after obtaining emails and text messages from a former Trump aide. (The Washington Post) This comes as Trump is set to travel to New York City today ahead of his surrender and arraignment tomorrow in Manhattan District Attorney Alvin Bragg’s fraud case. (The Wall Street Journal)
  • Former Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson announced he will run for the Republican Party’s 2024 presidential nomination after spending several days in Iowa, the first-in-the nation caucus state. Ahead of a “formal announcement” later this month, Hutchinson said Trump should drop out of the race due to his New York indictment. (ABC News)
  • President Joe Biden may not announce his re-election plans until as late as July, according to unnamed advisers and close allies, a move they think would allow him to contrast his incumbency with Trump-related chaos in the Republican Party. Despite the delay in timing, there is no indication that Biden will not run for re-election. (Axios)
  • A group of centrist House Democrats are reportedly working with centrist Republicans on a fallback plan to raise the debt limit this summer, breaking with the White House’s push for a clean increase. (Politico)

 

Happening today (all in ET):

 

Chart Review



 
 

What Else You Need To Know

White House & Administration
 

Biden’s Limited Options to Respond to OPEC+’s Surprise Oil Cut
Ari Natter, Bloomberg

OPEC+’s surprise move to cut 1 million barrels a day of oil production is poised to raise US fuel prices just as President Joe Biden is expected to launch his re-election campaign. He has a limited range of options with which to respond.

 

Blinken speaks to Russian foreign minister about WSJ reporter Evan Gershkovich and Paul Whelan
Jennifer Hansler and Betsy Klein, CNN

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken spoke Sunday with Russian Foreign Minister Sergey Lavrov and called for the “immediate release” of detained Americans Evan Gershkovich and Paul Whelan, according to the US State Department.

 

Hewing to precedent, Biden plans to skip King Charles III’s coronation
Tyler Pager, The Washington Post

Jill Biden will lead a U.S. delegation to the ceremony, as U.S. officials note that no president has ever attended a British coronation.

 

These Ukrainians Arrived Under a Biden Program. They Ended Up Homeless.
Kimiko de Freytas-Tamura, The New York Times

More than 280,000 Ukrainians have escaped the war through a program meant to resettle them into the homes of Americans. But not everyone has found a safe or welcoming place to stay.

 

A Front Company and a Fake Identity: How the U.S. Came to Use Spyware It Was Trying to Kill.
Mark Mazzetti and Ronen Bergman, The New York Times

The Biden administration has been trying to choke off use of hacking tools made by the Israeli firm NSO. It turns out that not every part of the government has gotten the message.

 
Congress
 

Representative Marjorie Taylor Greene: From the far-right fringe to the Republican Party’s front row
Lesley Stahl, CBS News

It’s rare for a member of the House of Representatives to become well-known nationally, especially someone in only their second term. But Marjorie Taylor Greene – MTG – is as famous as they get. She’s gained her national celebrity, some say notoriety, with a sharp tongue and some pretty radical views like her proposal for a national divorce where red and blue states would go their separate ways.

 

Sen. Fetterman opens up about ‘downward spiral’ before receiving treatment for depression
Shawna Mizelle, CNN

Pennsylvania Sen. John Fetterman opened up about his struggle with depression during a candid interview with CBS News that was taped during his stay at Walter Reed National Military Medical Center.

 

Biden’s nominee for Labor secretary on shaky ground in Senate
Alex Gangitano and Al Weaver, The Hill

President Biden’s nominee to run the Labor Department, Julie Su, is facing an uphill climb toward confirmation as lawmakers prepare for a bruising battle in the coming weeks once the Senate returns from recess.

 

From agitator to insider: The evolution of AOC
Nicholas Wu and Joradin Carney, Politico

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez arrived in Washington as the ultimate Democratic disruptor. Four years into her House career, she’s embracing a new role: team player.

 

How Kevin McCarthy’s Bakersfield is reacting to Trump’s indictment
Arit John, Los Angeles Times

Before a Manhattan grand jury voted to indict former President Trump in connection with an alleged hush-money payment to adult film actor Stormy Daniels, House Speaker Kevin McCarthy told reporters how he thought the American people viewed the case.

 
General
 

In Days Before Trump Appears in Court, Few Signs Point to a Jan. 6 Repeat
Glenn Thrush, The New York Times

Even as Donald Trump’s arraignment differs from the Capitol riot, law enforcement’s response is informed by lessons learned from that day and the nationwide protests against police violence.

 

In Trump case, experts see echoes of failed case against Sen. John Edwards
Rosalind S. Helderman, The Washington Post

A politician hiding a dark secret, even as he sought the nation’s highest job. Hush money slipped to a woman to secure her silence. Criminal charges filed years later.

 

‘On a Tightrope’: How Taiwan’s President Navigated the U.S. and China
John Liu et al., The New York Times

Known for her quiet pragmatism, Tsai Ing-wen has ushered in a new era of American cooperation as worries about Chinese aggression rise.

 

Chinese spy balloon gathered intelligence from sensitive U.S. military sites, despite U.S. efforts to block it
Courtney Kube and Carol E. Lee, NBC News

The intelligence China collected was mostly from electronic signals, which can be picked up from weapons systems or include communications from base personnel.

 

The True Dangers of Long Trains
Dan Schwartz and Topher Sanders, ProPublica

Trains are getting longer. Railroads are getting richer. But these “monster trains” are jumping off of tracks across America and regulators are doing little to curb the risk.

 
Campaigns
 

Expensive court race will decide future of abortion in Wisconsin
Patrick Marley, The Washington Post

Tuesday’s election for a seat on the Wisconsin Supreme Court — the most expensive judicial race in U.S. history — has turned into a caustic, ideological brawl that will determine whether liberals or conservatives control the branch of government that will soon decide the fate of the state’s abortion ban.

 

Democrats Run on Abortion, Even for Offices With Little Say on the Issue
Reid J. Epstein, The New York Times

Seizing on a powerful motivator for their party, Democratic candidates for municipal offices have put Republicans on their heels. “I’m running for mayor, I’m not debating abortion,” one said.

 

‘A dangerous force’: Chicago mayor’s race tests teachers union clout
Juan Perez Jr. and Shia Kapos, Politico

The Chicago Teachers Union is one of the most powerful political institutions in this city. And it has more at stake in Tuesday’s mayoral runoff election than either man running for the office.

 

Homelessness Shapes Denver’s Crowded Mayoral Race
Dan Frosch, The Wall Street Journal

This city’s mounting homeless crisis is dominating a crowded mayoral election set for Tuesday, with over a dozen candidates offering competing plans on how to tackle an issue that has left residents sharply divided.

 

No Labels group raises alarms with third-party presidential preparations
Michael Scherer, The Washington Post

It has money, name-brand political backers and declines to describe either President Biden or Donald Trump as acceptable candidates.

 

In between rounds of golf, Trump considers how best to use indictment as 2024 rallying cry
Kristen Holmes, CNN

Former President Donald Trump spent the weekend before his history-making arraignment playing golf, posting on social media, meeting with advisers, and calling and texting allies to tout the political positives of his recent indictment.

 

He wrote the book on crushing ‘wokeism.’ Now he’s running for president.
Steven Mufson, The Washington Post

Vivek Ramaswamy attended elite schools, made a fortune in biotech and skewers climate-concerned capitalism. So why is he eyeing the White House?

 

Inside the bitter GOP ‘undercard’ rivalry between Mike Pence and Nikki Haley
Adam Wren and Natalie Allison, Politico

Mike Pence might harbor deep-seated resentment toward Donald Trump for his handling of Jan. 6. But it’s Nikki Haley who really gets under the Pence camp’s skin.

 

NH Guv Chris Sununu Sees a Lane to the Left of Trump and DeSantis
Jake Lahut, The Daily Beast

The popular Republican governor of New Hampshire is trying to carve out a lane away from Trump and DeSantis. But that’s not where most of the GOP’s voters seem to be.

 

Tim Scott’s Capitol Hill fans question his chances in 2024
Marianne Levine, Politico

Take it from two fellow Republican senators who unsuccessfully ran for president: As much as they like their South Carolina colleague, the optimism pitch gets tricky with the party’s base.

 

Super PAC Backing DeSantis Says It Has Raised $30 Million
Maggie Haberman, The New York Times

Fund-raising is predicted to be a strength for Ron DeSantis, who is expected to announce his bid for the Republican presidential nomination in the coming months.

 

Manchin: Americans want a ‘reasonable, responsible middle’
Shawna Mizelle and Aileen Graef, CNN

Sen. Joe Manchin declined to say Sunday whether he would run on a centrist presidential ticket but the moderate West Virginia Democrat said Americans were sick of the political division in the country.

 

Katie Porter Will Tell You What She Thinks
Grace Segers, The New Republic

The U.S. representative from Orange County says her old law prof, Elizabeth Warren, has one speed: “full speed ahead.” She’s made waves in the House. But can she whiteboard her way to a Senate seat in a hotly contested race?

 
States
 

32 dead as tornadoes torment from Arkansas to Delaware
Adrian Sainz et al., The Associated Press

Residents across a wide swath of the U.S. raced Sunday to assess the destruction from fierce storms that spawned possibly dozens of tornadoes from the South and the Midwest into the Northeast, killing at least 32 people.

 

Republicans push for stricter election laws, despite scant proof of fraud
Amy Gardner and Yvonne Wingett Sanchez, The Washington Post

A new wave of state legislation aimed at tightening election security shows that the issue still animates the GOP.

 

States aim to boost school safety after Tennessee shooting
Claire Rush, The Associated Press

In the wake of an elementary school shooting in Tennessee earlier this week that left three 9-year-olds and three adults dead, state legislatures across the country are moving forward with bills aiming to improve school safety.

 
Advocacy
 

K Street doesn’t expect cannabis reform any time soon
Brendan Pedersen, Punchbowl News

If you can think of any sad weed puns, let us know. K Street is feeling pretty dour about the prospects of legislative reform around cannabis over the next two years.

 
Opinions, Editorials and Perspectives
 

Trump’s Republican Rivals Are Missing an Obvious Opportunity
Mark Leibovich, The Atlantic

Now is an ideal moment for Republicans to free themselves from the former president. They’re not exactly taking advantage of it.

 

Trump is proven correct: We’ve never seen anything like this before
George E. Condon Jr., National Journal

His usual hyperbole aside, the amount of legal risk the former president has faced (and continues to face) is truly historic.

 







Morning Consult